XRP News Today: Regulators Step Back, XRP ETF Odds Soar to Near Certainty

With 15 spot XRP exchange-traded fund (ETF) proposals currently under review by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), the market is increasingly speculating on the likelihood of their eventual approval. The momentum has gained traction following the departure of former SEC Chair Gary Gensler and the apparent de-escalation of the agency’s stance on cryptocurrencies. As of now, the probability of XRP ETF approval by the end of the year, as reflected on prediction market platform Polymarket, stands at 87% [1]. Nate Geraci, co-founder of the ETF Institute, has gone further, estimating the chances to be closer to 100% [1].

The potential approval of XRP ETFs could catalyze a surge in demand for the asset, drawing in institutional investors, hedge funds, and large-scale financial institutions seeking exposure to XRP without the need for direct custody. AI models such as ChatGPT, Grok, and Gemini have analyzed the potential price trajectories of XRP should these ETFs gain regulatory clearance. ChatGPT proposed three possible price scenarios: a conservative estimate of $4 to $5, a bullish forecast of $10, and a highly speculative projection exceeding $15, contingent on favorable macroeconomic conditions [1].

These predictions are not isolated. Gemini, another AI platform, similarly indicated the potential for XRP to reach approximately $16 by the end of the year under bullish assumptions. In contrast, Grok expressed a slightly more cautious outlook, suggesting that a move beyond $10 would require sustained investor interest and favorable market dynamics [1]. The AI-generated forecasts highlight the asset’s potential to outperform its fundamentals should institutional adoption and retail enthusiasm align.

Beyond ETF speculation, XRP’s institutional appeal has been further underscored by recent developments in derivatives markets. The CME Group reported that XRP futures reached $1 billion in open interest in less than four months, setting a record for the fastest-growing crypto derivatives contract. As of the end of August, XRP futures contributed $8.1 billion to the CME’s total volume, demonstrating a marked shift in investor interest toward alternative large-cap digital assets [2]. This rapid adoption is attributed to the ability of regulated futures contracts to facilitate hedging and speculative trading, attracting a broader range of participants.

The growing interest in XRP reflects a broader trend in the evolution of crypto derivatives as a key driver of liquidity and price discovery. Alongside XRP, Solana (SOL) and Ethereum options also experienced record-breaking activity during the same period. These developments indicate that crypto derivatives are becoming a central mechanism for institutional participation in the digital asset space.

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[1] How High Will XRP's Price Go if All Ripple ETFs Are Approved in 2025? 3 AIs Give Big Predictions (https://cryptopotato.com/how-high-will-xrps-price-go-if-all-ripple-etfs-are-approved-in-2025-3-ais-give-big-predictions/)

[2] XRP Futures Hit $1B Open Interest Faster Than any Crypto Contract (https://cryptodnes.bg/en/xrp-futures-hit-1b-open-interest-faster-than-any-crypto-contract/)