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Recent data and market dynamics suggest that
is facing potential downward pressure, raising concerns about a correction in its value. As of the latest available data, XRP is trading at approximately $2.91, a decline from the $3.65 52-week high recorded in mid-July. This dip has reignited discussions about the token’s ability to reach the $4 milestone, a target that seemed increasingly plausible during the summer months. The current regulatory landscape remains a key variable influencing investor sentiment. In early August, Ripple successfully settled its long-running legal dispute with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), a development that many had anticipated would signal a shift toward greater regulatory clarity. However, the anticipated approval of new spot XRP exchange-traded funds (ETFs) was delayed until mid-October, dampening initial optimism and contributing to a more cautious market stance [1].The recent coordinated filings for XRP ETFs by seven major asset management firms—Grayscale, Bitwise, Canary, CoinShares, Franklin, 21Shares, and WisdomTree—have been interpreted as a positive sign of regulatory engagement. These firms updated their S-1 statements to align with new requirements, including allowing for both XRP or cash-based creations and in-kind redemptions. Analysts, including Bloomberg’s James Seyffart, have cited these filings as a strong indication of responsiveness to SEC feedback, potentially improving the likelihood of approval in the coming months [2]. Despite this progress, the absence of BlackRock, a leading player in the ETF market, from the filing list has raised questions about broader institutional interest in XRP.
Institutional adoption of XRP remains a mixed picture. While Ripple has secured partnerships with several high-profile
, including a recent $200 million acquisition of the Rail stablecoin platform, the token’s performance in decentralized finance (DeFi) remains weak. According to DeFiLlama, XRP ranks 48th in total value locked (TVL), far behind its market capitalization of approximately $172.9 billion. This discrepancy suggests a disconnect between XRP’s valuation and its actual usage in blockchain applications, raising concerns about the sustainability of its price action [1].Exchange inflow data also points to caution among investors. With XRP trading at a seven-day decline of 8.4% against the U.S. dollar, recent inflows into exchanges indicate that traders may be preparing to sell rather than accumulate. This trend is exacerbated by the token’s underperformance relative to the broader cryptocurrency market, which has only declined by approximately 3.7% over the same period. Analysts suggest that increased selling pressure from retail and institutional investors could further depress XRP’s price in the near term [3].
Market participants are closely watching October’s ETF decision as a potential catalyst for a rebound. If the SEC approves the new offerings, XRP could see renewed demand from a broader investor base. However, any delay or rejection could exacerbate downward momentum, particularly in a market still grappling with uncertainty around regulatory frameworks. Given these dynamics, the likelihood of XRP hitting $4 before October remains speculative, with significant dependence on regulatory developments and broader market sentiment [1].
Source: [1] Can XRP Hit $4 By October? - Yahoo Finance (https://finance.yahoo.com/news/xrp-hit-4-october-090000431.html) [2] XRP ETF Race Heats Up as Seven Firms File Amendments (https://coinmarketcap.com/academy/article/xrp-etf-race-heats-up-as-seven-firms-file-amendments) [3] XRP to USD: XRP Price in US Dollar (https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/xrp/usd)

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