XRP News Today: Pending XRP ETFs Spark $5B Inflow Hopes Amid Deepening Bearish Signals

XRP's potential price trajectory under a hypothetical scenario where it matches Bitcoin's market cap has drawn significant attention from analysts and investors. According to calculations by TheCryptoBasic, if XRP's market capitalization were to reach Bitcoin's current $2.436 trillion, the token's price would surge to $40.68, assuming its circulating supply of 59.87 billion tokens remains constant . This scenario would mean a 1,356% increase from its current price of $3. For example, a $5,000 investment at the current price would grow to $67,800 in this hypothetical scenario. However, if XRP were to reach Bitcoin's actual price of $122,261, the token's valuation would skyrocket to $7.32 quadrillion, a scenario deemed highly improbable due to its impracticality .

Technical analysis from CoinDesk highlights ongoing bearish trends in XRP's price action, with the token consistently forming "lower highs" despite Bitcoin's upward movements. This pattern, observed since July 2025, suggests weakening buyer momentum and a heightened risk of a breakdown below the $2.65–$2.70 support zone. The weekly MACD histogram, a key momentum indicator, has crossed below the zero line and is generating deeper negative bars, reinforcing the bearish outlook .

Institutional interest and potential ETF approvals could reshape XRP's market dynamics. CoinPedia and CryptoSlate note that eight XRP ETF applications from major firms like Grayscale and WisdomTree are pending SEC decisions, with approvals potentially unlocking $3–5 billion in institutional inflows by 2026 . Such inflows could double XRP's market cap and push its price toward $5, with sustained demand potentially driving it into double-digit territory for the first time. This aligns with CoinCodex's 2030 price forecast of $9.06, though this projection is not explicitly tied to Bitcoin's market cap .

Ripple's strategic expansion into the Middle East, particularly through partnerships with Bahrain Fintech Bay and Saudi Arabia's central bank, adds a layer of real-world utility to XRP. These initiatives aim to leverage XRP's cross-border payment capabilities and RLUSD stablecoin to streamline remittances in high-fee corridors. While this does not directly impact price models based on market cap, it strengthens XRP's foundational use case, which could drive long-term adoption .

The interplay between technical indicators and macroeconomic factors paints a mixed picture. While CoinPedia's algorithm predicts a 29.86% return on investment by October 2025, driven by short-term volatility and oversold conditions, CoinDesk's analysis underscores structural weaknesses in XRP's momentum . The discrepancy highlights the tension between speculative demand and utility-driven growth, a recurring theme in XRP's market narrative.

[1] XRP Price Prediction: Crash Risk Rises as 'Lower Highs ... - CoinDesk (https://www.coindesk.com/markets/2025/10/08/xrp-crash-brewing-prices-continue-to-print-lower-highs-alongside-new-highs-in-bitcoin)

[2] $5,000 in XRP: Here're Returns if It Hits Bitcoin's Price and Market ... (https://thecryptobasic.com/2025/10/06/5000-in-xrp-herere-returns-if-it-hits-bitcoins-price-and-market-cap/)

[3] Bitcoin, Ethereum and XRP Price Prediction For ... (https://coinpedia.org/price-analysis/bitcoin-ethereum-and-xrp-price-prediction-for-october-2025/)

[5] If spot XRP ETFs arrive, who will buy and how much ... (https://cryptoslate.com/if-spot-xrp-etfs-arrive-who-will-buy-and-how-much-will-liquidity-shift/)