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XRP bulls have pushed the cryptocurrency above $2.40, but the token remains constrained by a key resistance level at $2.60, according to recent technical and on-chain data. The price action reflects a tug-of-war between institutional buyers defending critical support zones and short-term distribution pressures, particularly following large whale activity.
XRP's recent price action saw a rebound from sub-$1.58 liquidation lows, with a surge to $2.66 before fading below that level amid aggressive selling and a $63 million whale transfer to Binance. Institutional buyers, however, have reinforced the $2.55 support zone, marked by high-volume defenses and a 3x increase in trading volume to 244.6 million
on October 13. This level has become a focal point for traders monitoring potential market shifts [1].
Technical analysis underscores the significance of the $2.60–$2.66 resistance cluster. The 200-day moving average currently sits at $2.63, and the inability to sustain a close above this level has kept the RSI below 50, indicating bearish momentum. A sustained breakout above $2.60 could trigger a test of $2.70, but bears have extended control into the final hours of trading, breaking below $2.57 and consolidating near $2.55–$2.56 . Analysts note that volume spikes on dips confirm institutional interest, but lower highs suggest supply still outweighs demand [1].
Institutional and whale activity has further complicated the outlook. A $63 million XRP transfer to Binance coincided with selling pressure, signaling short-term distribution. Meanwhile, open interest in derivatives markets rose 2.4% to $1.36 billion, reflecting elevated leveraged positioning. Traders are closely watching $2.55 support to determine whether it can hold through the weekend Asia sessions [1].
Regulatory developments have added a layer of optimism. The resolution of Ripple's SEC lawsuit in August 2025 and the subsequent relisting of XRP on major U.S. exchanges have bolstered confidence. Additionally, at least half a dozen firms have submitted proposals for spot XRP ETFs, with approvals expected by late October. A successful ETF launch could attract billions in institutional capital, though a U.S. government shutdown briefly delayed regulatory reviews .
Looking ahead, XRP's trajectory hinges on its ability to reclaim $2.60. A clean breakout could open the door to $2.72 and $2.90, but failure to do so may force a retest of $2.50 or lower. Analysts emphasize that volume and momentum indicators will be critical in confirming the next directional move. For now, the market remains in a holding pattern, awaiting macroeconomic clarity and regulatory developments to drive the next major trend .
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