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XRP is entering a pivotal phase of its multi-year market cycle, with analysts and traders closely monitoring its movement through Phase 4. The digital asset has mirrored a structural pattern observed during the 2014–2017 cycle, suggesting potential for a
toward a $6.618 target. This development coincides with a surge in institutional demand, driven by the recent launch of spot exchange-traded funds (ETFs) from Franklin Templeton, Grayscale, and others, which have .The four-phase model, which spans over a decade, has drawn comparisons to historical price behavior. Phase 1 saw XRP break out from a long-term base, followed by a consolidative Phase 2 that narrowed into a wedge. Phase 3 tightened further, maintaining support above rising trend lines, while Phase 4 now appears to be forming
. Traders note that the 2017 cycle saw a similar breakout in Phase 3, leading to a rapid expansion phase that propelled XRP to its peak during that period. The current structure suggests a potential repeat, with the price currently near the $2.00 level—a critical juncture for bulls .
Price dynamics remain a focal point. XRP closed the week near $2.00, having briefly touched $2.27 intraday amid a rebound from earlier corrective pressures
. Analysts highlight a bearish divergence on charts but acknowledge key support at $2.05–$2.07 and resistance near $2.20. A sustained breakout above $2.60—seen as a critical target—could align with the broader Phase 4 thesis, particularly if macroeconomic factors such as the anticipated December Federal Reserve rate cut and improved U.S.-China relations reduce risk aversion .The convergence of structural analysis and institutional momentum underscores XRP's potential for a multi-phase rally. While short-term volatility persists, the alignment of historical patterns, ETF-driven demand, and macroeconomic tailwinds positions the asset for a significant move, should it maintain control above key support levels.
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