XRP News Today: ETF Odds Rise to 87% as XRP Nears Breakout at $2.87

XRP is showing signs of a potential price surge as market participants increasingly speculate on the possibility of spot ETF approvals. Recent data from crypto analytics platforms indicate that the odds of approval for XRP ETFs have climbed to 87% as of early September 2025, up from 64% in August. This rise in approval probabilities coincides with the looming October deadlines for several ETF applications, including the Grayscale and Canary XRP ETF proposals. The Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has historically delayed such decisions until the last minute but appears likely to approve multiple applications simultaneously, mirroring its approach with Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs.

The technical outlook for XRP also supports a bullish near-term trajectory. On the daily chart, the asset has formed multiple bullish patterns, including a falling wedge, a double-bottom structure, and a bullish pennant. These formations suggest a possible breakout from current consolidation levels. XRP is currently trading near $2.87, having risen from a recent low of $2.7167. Analysts highlight the 100-day moving average at $2.76 as a key support level that, if held, could lead to a price push above $3.00. A sustained breakout above this level could position XRP for a move toward its July 2025 high of $3.66, with further upside potential to the psychological $5 level.

Longer-term projections are more ambitious. Analyst EGRAG CRYPTO has outlined a scenario in which XRP could see a parabolic rise to between $22 and $27 in 2025, aligning with a multi-year trend observed since 2013. The analyst’s cycle analysis indicates that if XRP fails to reach the $22 threshold, it may signal that the current market cycle's peak has already been established. This dual possibility underscores the high volatility and uncertainty typical of the cryptocurrency market, where price movements can be heavily influenced by macroeconomic factors, regulatory developments, and institutional adoption.

The demand for XRP-related products is also gaining traction. Futures-based ETFs such as the Teucrium 2X Long Daily (XXRP) and the ProShares Ultra XRP ETF (UXRP) have seen consistent inflows over recent weeks. XXRP alone added $18.2 million in assets in the last week, bringing its total to over $355 million. UXRP, meanwhile, has grown to $100 million in assets. These figures suggest strong investor interest and highlight the growing legitimacy of XRP as a tradable asset on regulated platforms.

The XRP price action is also being supported by Ripple Labs’ strategic initiatives, including partnerships with major fintech and blockchain firms. Recent collaborations with Thunes and Aave aim to expand the utility of XRP in cross-border transactions and stablecoin ecosystems. Ripple’s USD stablecoin, RLUSD, has seen a notable increase in usage, with its market capitalization approaching $700 million and projected to reach $1 billion by year-end. These developments could enhance XRP’s real-world utility and increase demand for the token.

The regulatory environment continues to play a pivotal role in XRP’s price trajectory. The ongoing legal battle between Ripple and the SEC concluded in July 2023 with a partial settlement, where Ripple agreed to pay a $125 million fine for violating U.S. securities law in the case of institutional sales. However, the court ruling clarified that XRP is not a security for retail investors who purchased it via programmatic sales on exchanges. This distinction could help reduce legal uncertainties and encourage broader adoption among institutional and retail investors alike.

In conclusion, XRP appears to be at a critical juncture, with both technical and fundamental factors pointing to a potential price increase. The upcoming ETF decisions, coupled with regulatory clarity and growing institutional adoption, could serve as key catalysts for the token. However, market participants should remain cautious, as the broader crypto market remains volatile and subject to sudden shifts in sentiment and policy.

Source: [1] What's next for XRP price as ETF approval chances hit 87%? (https://crypto.news/whats-next-for-xrp-price-as-etf-approval-chances-hit-87) [2] Fast track approval of XRP etfs. (https://www.reddit.com/r/XRP/comments/1n71brv/fast_track_approval_of_xrp_etfs/) [3] What to expect from XRP price if the SEC green-lights ETFs (https://www.fxstreet.com/cryptocurrencies/news/ripple-price-forecast-how-the-sec-could-fast-track-approval-of-xrp-etfs-202509021715) [4] XRP Nears Apex of Pattern as Analysts Debate Long-Term Outlook (https://coinedition.com/xrp-nears-apex-pattern-breakout-analysts-debate-long-term-outlook/) [5] XRP price forms multiple bullish patterns as Ripple ETF inflows jump (https://crypto.news/xrp-price-forms-multiple-bullish-patterns-as-ripple-etf-inflows-jump/) [6] ECB Chief Says Foreign Stablecoin Issuers Must Face EU Standards (https://www.financemagnates.com/cryptocurrency/ecb-chief-says-foreign-stablecoin-issuers-must-face-eu-standards/)