XRP News Today: Bull and Bear Forces Clash as XRP's Fate Hangs in Balance

XRP's price has fallen below $3, triggering renewed discussions about its potential trajectory amid a broader market correction. Technical analysis highlights a descending triangle pattern on the daily chart, with a potential target of $2.07 if the $2.75 support level failsHow Low Can XRP Price Go After Dropping Below $3 Again?^[1]. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) has declined to 39 from 50 over the past 24 hours, signaling increasing downward momentumHow Low Can XRP Price Go After Dropping Below $3 Again?^[1]. On-chain metrics, including the Net Unrealized Profit/Loss (NUPL) indicator, suggest heightened sell-side pressure, as over 94% of XRP's supply remains in profitHow Low Can XRP Price Go After Dropping Below $3 Again?^[1]. Historical correlations between NUPL and price tops, such as those seen in 2017, 2021, and early 2025, raise concerns about a short-term correctionHow Low Can XRP Price Go After Dropping Below $3 Again?^[1].

Exchange flows and whale activity provide mixed signals. Recent on-chain data shows a $4.6 million net inflow into exchanges, indicating cautious accumulation ahead of potential ETF-related catalysts. However, inflows remain below July's peaks, reflecting muted participation. Whale accumulation, including a 90% drop in XRP supply on Coinbase, suggests long-term positioning but does not guarantee immediate price stabilityXRP Price Prediction 2025–2030: The Road to a $50 …^[2]. The 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) at $2.52 may offer temporary support before a deeper correction toward $2.40–$2.25 becomes a risk.

Analysts remain divided on XRP's near-term outlook. While some argue that the $2.60–$2.70 range could stabilize the price, others warn of a breakdown to $2.25 if key support levels are breachedXRP (XRP) Price Prediction: Analysts Eye $3.60 Breakout As ETF ...^[7]. Conversely, bullish forecasts highlight the potential for a retest of $3.00 and beyond, with historical analogies suggesting a target of $9.63 if the current breakout holdsXRP Price Prediction: Critical $3 Support Break Could Trigger …^[8]. Long-term macro analyses, including Elliott Wave projections and institutional adoption scenarios, point to price targets above $5–$20 by 2025–2030XRP Price Prediction 2025–2030: The Road to a $50 …^[2]. These divergent views underscore the asset's volatility and the influence of external catalysts.

Regulatory developments and ETF speculation remain critical variables. The resolution of Ripple's SEC lawsuit, culminating in a $50 million fine in June, has eased legal uncertainties and spurred optimism about institutional demandXRP Price Breaks Key Range: Experts Predict Rally to …^[6]. Multiple XRP ETF filings, with an 85% approval probability on Polymarket, could further catalyze price actionXRP Price Breaks Key Range: Experts Predict Rally to …^[6]. However, regulatory risks-such as potential crackdowns or unfavorable rulings-remain a wildcard for market sentimentXRP Price Prediction 2025–2030: The Road to a $50 …^[2].

XRP's path forward hinges on several interdependent factors. A sustained break above $2.95 could attract momentum buyers, targeting $3.20–$3.60, while a failure to hold above $2.77 may trigger a deeper correction. Broader market dynamics, including Bitcoin's performance and macroeconomic conditions, will also influence XRP's trajectory. For long-term holders, current valuations-reflected in the MVRV Z-Score-suggest room for growth despite short-term volatilityXRP (XRP) Price Prediction: Analysts Eye $3.60 Breakout As ETF ...^[7]. Traders, however, face a high-risk environment, with over $500 million in futures liquidations reported during recent swingsXRP Bearish Momentum Builds as Price Eyes $2.60 Support^[5].