XRP News Today: BTC, XRP Stabilize Amid $16B Liquidation, Geopolitical Risks Loom Large

Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH), and XRP experienced a sharp correction following a $16 billion liquidation event, with prices stabilizing in early October 2025. The crash, driven by leveraged bullish bets and macroeconomic uncertainties, triggered multi-month lows for altcoins like XRP and Solana (SOL). Market participants now assess whether the recovery will be swift or protracted, with technical indicators and macroeconomic factors shaping near-term outlooks.

The liquidation wave, exacerbated by U.S.-China trade tensions, forced a multi-step bottoming process. Market makers paused liquidity provision to address price discrepancies between spot and futures markets, delaying immediate rebounds. Data feed outages during the crash further prolonged stabilization, as exchanges and systems struggled with high volatility. Analysts note that absorption of sell orders-prioritized by liquidation trades-could span several days, particularly over weekends when spot ETFs are inactive, reducing liquidity for dealers to unwind positions without triggering large price swings Coindesk^[1].

Bitcoin briefly reclaimed $121,000 in early October, stabilizing near $115,500 after a pullback from its October 6 all-time high of $126,199. Technical indicators show mixed signals: the RSI on daily charts approached the neutral 50 level, suggesting fading bearish momentum, while the MACD remains bearish. Key support levels for BTC include $107,245, with resistance at $120,000.

Ethereum tested $4,232 resistance after a 17.66% drop to $3,593 in late September. Current levels near $4,160 suggest cautious optimism, though a break below $3,593 could extend the decline. XRP, which plummeted to $1.25 in early October, recovered to $2.57, testing $2.72 resistance. Analysts warn that a sustained move below $2.20 could trigger further downside to $1.80, a level not seen since mid-2024 Coindesk^[4].

Analysts offer divergent forecasts. Zaheer Ebtikar of Split Capital emphasized a gradual stabilization process, noting that dealers unwinding long positions could delay a rebound. Meanwhile, trader Peter Brandt suggested BTC could reach $185,000 if historical cycles hold, though he acknowledged a 50/50 chance of counter-cyclical movement. For XRP, lower highs since July-despite BTC's new highs-signal weakening momentum, with a critical test at $2.65–$2.70 support. A break below this could push XRP toward $2.00 .

Institutional interest and regulatory clarity also factor into longer-term projections. BTCC analysts proposed a $50 target for XRP by 2030 under optimistic adoption scenarios, contingent on global payments integration and ETF approvals. However, conservative models project XRP trading between $2.80–$3.50 through 2030, with a "stretch" case reaching $50 only if macroeconomic and adoption conditions align .

Persistent trade tensions remain a wildcard. Trump's 100% tariff announcement on China triggered a broader risk-off selloff, with Bitcoin dropping 7% to $113,000 and XRP falling 17% to $2.34. Analysts caution that renewed geopolitical volatility could disrupt recovery efforts. Conversely, stablecoin market caps and DeFi TVL (total value locked) have shown resilience, with stablecoin inflows rising 0.9% weekly to $303.7 billion, signaling capital inflows into crypto 99Bitcoins^[2].

The market's path forward hinges on liquidity absorption, technical support/resistance levels, and macroeconomic stability. While BTC, ETH, and XRP show early signs of stabilization, sustained recovery will depend on resolving trade tensions and maintaining institutional confidence. Analysts urge caution, emphasizing that forecasts remain speculative and subject to rapid reversals in volatile conditions.