XRP News Today: Bitcoin's Critical Threshold: Bear Market Entry or 2025 Bull Cycle Reset?

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Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) continue to face mounting bearish pressure as prices retreat from recent highs, with technical indicators and market sentiment pointing to prolonged volatility. XRP, meanwhile, has shown mixed signals, rebounding on institutional developments but remaining vulnerable to further corrections.

Bitcoin fell below $108,000 in early November, breaking below key Fibonacci retracement levels and triggering bearish momentum, according to a Bitcoin price forecast.

The RSI on the daily chart sits at 41, underscoring waning bullish momentum, while the MACD histogram continues to contract. Analysts warn that a close below the $106,453 (61.8% retracement) level could extend the decline toward $102,000.

The debate over whether Bitcoin is entering a bear market remains unresolved, as discussed in a Cointelegraph analysis. While the 365-day moving average breach has raised alarms, some analysts argue this is a "routine cleanse" within the 2025 bull cycle. Tom Cohen of Algoz Technology notes that a breakdown below $100,000 would be a critical threshold, though macroeconomic factors-including U.S. interest rates and potential Trump-era policy shifts-could still drive a "Santa Claus rally".

Ethereum (ETH) has found temporary support near $3,171, but its path to recovery remains uncertain. According to an FXStreet price prediction, the altcoin retreated from the 100-day EMA at $3,906 and is now consolidating around $3,300. Technical indicators suggest a potential short-term rebound if ETH holds above $3,171, with a target of $3,593. However, a breakdown below this level could push ETH toward $3,017.

Traders on platforms like TradingView highlight Ethereum's test of the $3,900 resistance level, with mixed signals emerging from failed rallies and declining volume. Despite short-term optimism, the broader bearish structure persists, with sellers maintaining control until ETH reclaims critical resistance.

Ripple's XRP has surged over 12% in recent days, driven by a $500 million funding round led by Fortress Investment Group and Citadel Securities, which pushed the company's valuation to $40 billion, according to a Coinpedia report. A partnership with Mastercard, WebBank, and Gemini to integrate Ripple USD (RLUSD) for fiat credit card settlements has further fueled bullish sentiment, as noted in a Yahoo Finance article.

XRP's price has broken through $2.30 resistance, with technical indicators suggesting a potential push toward $2.50, according to a U.Today analysis. However, rising open interest in futures markets signals increased volatility, and persistent spot outflows highlight cautious investor behavior, a trend flagged by Coinedition. Analysts caution that a breakdown below $2.16 could trigger a deeper correction toward $1.58.

The broader crypto market remains volatile, with Bitcoin's dominance and macroeconomic factors playing pivotal roles. While some analysts see a "routine" correction in progress, others warn of deeper declines if key support levels fail. XRP's institutional adoption and Ethereum's on-chain activity offer glimmers of hope, but sustained recovery will depend on macroeconomic clarity and renewed buying pressure.