XRP and HBAR: Imminent Breakouts from Falling Wedges Signal Strategic Entry Points

In late September 2025, XRP and HBAR have entered critical junctures as tightening falling wedge patterns and on-chain accumulation trends align with Fibonacci targets that could unlock significant upside. Technical indicators and whale positioning suggest these assets are primed for breakouts, offering strategic entry points for investors prepared to navigate the volatility of the final quarter.

Technical Analysis: Falling Wedges and Fibonacci Targets

XRP and HBAR are both consolidating within falling wedge patterns, a bullish continuation formation characterized by descending resistance and ascending support. For XRP, the price has tightened into a wedge between $2.73 (support) and $3.15 (resistance), with a key apex near $2.95 [1]. Fibonacci projections from the 2024–2025 cycle suggest potential targets at $3.60, $4.00, and $4.65, while a liquidity cluster forms at $5.42—a level where historical order books show heavy institutional buying [1]. A clean breakout above $3.15 would validate the pattern, potentially triggering a 38% rally to $3.60.

HBAR, trading at $0.2164, is forming a similar wedge with support at $0.20 and resistance at $0.25 [1]. Fibonacci extensions project targets at $0.296, $0.336, and $0.401, with a critical liquidity cluster at $0.50 if the descending triangle pattern completes [3]. However, recent bearish divergence on the weekly RSI suggests caution: price highs have outpaced momentum, historically preceding extended pullbacks [2].

Whale Positioning: Accumulation Amid Volatility

On-chain data reveals aggressive accumulation by large holders, signaling confidence in both assets. XRP has seen whales amass over 630 million tokens in a single month, with wallets holding 1–10 million XRP now controlling 10.6% of the total supply [4]. This follows a $1.9 billion institutional sell-off since July 2025, creating a divergence between short-term bearish pressure and long-term bullish positioning [1]. Whale activity has been concentrated in the $2.70–$2.75 support zone, where buyers have repeatedly defended the price despite intraday dips [1].

HBAR’s whale activity has surged as well, with 50 million tokens added in just seven days [2]. Large holders with ten million tokens or more have expanded their positions, suggesting strategic positioning ahead of potential catalysts like BlackRock’s integration of Hedera’s $1.3 trillion Liquidity Fund [4]. Despite this, HBAR remains pressured near $0.21, with a 5.46% 24-hour decline highlighting the fragility of its bullish case [2].

Strategic Entry Points and Risk Management

For XRP, the most compelling entry lies just below the wedge’s upper boundary at $2.90–$3.05, where a breakout could target $3.60–$4.00. Stop-loss placement below $2.73 would mitigate risk if the wedge fails. HBAR’s optimal entry is near $0.23–$0.24, with a target of $0.296 and a stop below $0.20. Both assets face liquidity clusters at $5.42 (XRP) and $0.50 (HBAR), where institutional buying could accelerate momentum [1][3].

However, risks persist. XRP’s bearish divergence on the weekly RSI and weak funding rates for perpetuals suggest a potential retest of $2.18 if the wedge breaks down [2]. For HBAR, the lack of volume confirmation during recent rallies raises concerns about the sustainability of its $0.25 resistance level [3].

Conclusion

The convergence of tightening wedge patterns, Fibonacci targets, and whale accumulation creates a compelling case for XRP and HBAR as breakout candidates in late September 2025. While technical setups favor bullish outcomes, investors must remain vigilant to bearish risks, particularly in HBAR’s fragile support structure. Positioning near key levels—$2.90–$3.05 for XRP and $0.23–$0.24 for HBAR—offers a high-reward opportunity, provided liquidity and volume confirm the breakouts.

Source:
[1] XRP and HBAR Tighten in Falling Wedges as Traders Eye... [https://www.bitget.com/news/detail/12560604954375]
[2] XRP Price Prediction: XRP Correction Deepens with 5% Drop... [https://bravenewcoin.com/insights/xrp-price-prediction-xrp-correction-deepens-with-5-drop-technical-setup-hints-potential-reversal-levels]
[3] HBAR Sees 50M Tokens Added in Just 7 Days Amid Market Pressure... [https://www.mexc.com/en-GB/news/hbar-sees-50m-tokens-added-in-just-7-days-amid-market-pressure-whats-next/81656]
[4] XRP Price Today: XRP Consolidates Within Triangle Pattern as Whale Accumulation Signals Breakout [https://bravenewcoin.com/insights/xrp-price-today-xrp-consolidates-within-triangle-pattern-as-whale-accumulation-signals-breakout]