XRP ETFs Remain in Green but Inflows Hit a Record Low: How Will Price React?

XRP spot ETFs recorded their first net outflow in January 2026 after 54 consecutive days of inflows according to TradingView. The outflow on January 7 totaled $40.8 million, marking a sharp reversal in sentiment according to TradingView. This came just two days after a record inflow of $46.1 million, highlighting volatility in institutional appetite according to TradingView.

The outflow caused a drop in total ETF assets to $1.53 billion, down from $1.65 billion according to TradingView. Daily traded value also fell to $33.74 million, the lowest since mid-December according to TradingView. The 21Shares TOXR ETF led the outflow with $47.25 million in redemptions according to TradingView.

XRP's price dropped from $2.42 to as low as $2.08 in early January, a 14% decline according to TradingView. The price move reflects growing caution among investors after the ETF outflow according to TradingView.

Why Did This Happen?

The outflow follows broader market movements in crypto ETFs. Ethereum ETFs also experienced outflows, with $98.5 million leaving the funds on January 7 according to CryptoNews. The synchronized nature of the outflows suggests strategic portfolio repositioning rather than a loss of confidence in XRP according to CryptoNews.

The ETF outflow is attributed to a combination of profit-taking and market consolidation. Inflows slowed in January, but remained positive, with a net gain of $24.4 million for XRP ETFs up to January 7 according to CryptoNews. The decline in whale activity on Binance also indicates reduced selling pressure according to CryptoNews.

How Markets Responded

XRP's price reaction to the ETF outflow was significant. The token fell below $2.30 after a recent peak at $2.42, signaling a potential breakdown in the bull trend according to Cryptopolitan. On-chain metrics show mixed signals. Whale flows to Binance have declined, and retail activity remains stable according to CryptoNews.

Derivatives markets also reflect uncertainty. XRP futures open interest rose to $4.55 billion from $3.77 billion, suggesting increased positioning among investors according to FXStreet. The futures market could play a key role in determining whether XRP regains its upward trajectory according to FXStreet.

What Are Analysts Watching

Analysts are closely monitoring whale behavior and on-chain metrics. Whale flows to Binance have dropped from above 70% to 60% in the last three months, suggesting a potential reduction in short-term selling pressure according to CryptoNews.

Technical indicators also provide insight. XRP is currently testing support around $2.05–$2.10 according to Cryptopolitan. A breakdown below this level could lead to a retest of $1.90. Conversely, a breakout above $2.35 could push the price toward $2.64 and potentially $3.00 according to Cryptopolitan.

Market watchers are also looking at the broader ETF landscape. Competitors like Bitwise, Canary, and 21Shares have captured a significant market share, making it difficult for late entrants like WisdomTree to compete according to U.Today. WisdomTree's withdrawal of its XRP ETF application highlights the challenges of entering an already crowded space according to U.Today.

The overall inflow trend for XRP ETFs remains positive, with cumulative inflows reaching $1.23 billion as of January 6 according to FXStreet. This suggests that demand for XRP ETFs is still strong, despite recent outflows and price volatility according to FXStreet.

Investors are also watching for regulatory developments. The SEC has yet to approve additional XRP ETFs, including proposed products from Grayscale and CoinShares according to Cryptopolitan. Regulatory uncertainty could impact future inflows and price stability according to Cryptopolitan.