XRP ETF Inflows Collapse 95% to $1.84M, Price Stuck Below $1.50

Institutional money is pulling back hard from XRP ETFs. The weekly inflow figure has collapsed from $36.04 million three weeks ago to just $1.84 million last week. That's a drop of nearly 95%, signaling a rapid fade in buying conviction even as the streak of positive flows continues.

This slowdown is visible on the chart. The price fell below its key weekly benchmark, the Volume Weighted Average Price, on February 18 and hasn't reclaimed it since. That move puts the average holding cost of institutions underwater, which typically reduces their incentive to buy more. The broader market confirmed the shift that day, with Bitcoin and Ether ETFs shedding $133.3 million and $41.8 million respectively.

The result is a price stuck in a range. Despite the earlier inflow streak, XRP has been trading mostly flat over the past week, unable to break above $1.50. The fading institutional flow is the primary reason the rally has stalled.

Price Action and Key Levels

The price is under clear pressure. XRP has fallen more than 30% in February, trading at $1.43 down from a monthly high near $2.05. This steep decline follows a brutal early-month selloff that took the token to a low near $1.11. The recent price action is the direct driver behind the major analyst downgrade.

Standard Chartered slashed its XRP price target by 65% to $2.80, marking the largest percentage cut among the bank's crypto forecasts. The revision follows XRP's roughest stretch since 2022, with the token down roughly 60% from its July 2025 high. The bank's global head of digital assets research cited the recent price weakness as the catalyst for the downgrade, warning of more pain ahead.

Despite some on-chain support from whale accumulation, the technical setup is deteriorating. The most critical level to watch is $1.259. A break below this key support could extend the losses significantly. The price has already fallen below its weekly Volume Weighted Average Price, a benchmark for institutional cost basis, which typically reduces buying incentive. This combination of a major price target cut and a broken technical level signals that the path of least resistance is down.

Catalysts and What to Watch

The current stagnation hinges on a few fragile signals. A sustained break above $1.50 is the immediate bullish trigger. That level is the key resistance from the recent consolidation and a psychological barrier. A close above it would signal a shift from indecision to momentum, potentially drawing back some of the sidelined institutional capital.

The flow data shows how fragile that momentum would be. Weekly ETF inflows have collapsed from $36.04 million to just $1.84 million. Any re-acceleration in that figure would be a critical sign that institutional buying conviction is returning. For now, the trend is clearly down, and a new inflow streak would be needed to counteract the bearish divergence forming on the chart.

The broader market remains a key external risk. XRP has shown it is highly sensitive to liquidity conditions and leveraged positioning. A renewed risk-off move across crypto, driven by macro factors like bond yields, could quickly overwhelm any local bullish signals. The token's history of sharp moves during stress periods means the path to recovery is narrow and dependent on external calm.