XRP's Elliott Wave C and $2.26 Target: A Strategic Buy Opportunity in Late 2025

In late 2025, XRP stands at a pivotal juncture in its technical trajectory, with Elliott Wave analysis suggesting a compelling case for a strategic buy opportunity. The cryptocurrency, long mired in regulatory uncertainty and market skepticism, now appears to be navigating a complex corrective phase that could culminate in a significant bullish breakout. This analysis, rooted in wave theory and key price levels, argues that XRP's current structure-particularly the unfolding C wave-positions it as a high-probability candidate for a move toward $2.26 and beyond.

The Elliott Wave C Structure: A Path to $2.26

Elliott Wave analysis of XRP reveals a multi-layered corrective pattern, with the asset currently in the final leg of a larger A-B-C structure. According to a report by BraveNewCoin, XRP has completed an expanded flat correction on the daily chart following a prior impulse move, with analysts identifying wave (II) concluding at $1.9669 before a 5-wave impulse pushed higher. This structure implies that the market is in a continuation phase rather than a distribution phase, a critical distinction for long-term investors.

The C wave, which represents the final corrective leg, is projected to target $2.26-a level derived from Fibonacci extensions and historical supply zones. This target aligns with broader technical indicators, including improved liquidity conditions and consistent buying pressure at the $2.00 psychological level. Analysts such as Cantonese Cat have emphasized that such corrections often resolve when broader market liquidity improves, a condition that appears to be materializing in late 2025.

Key Support and Resistance Dynamics

The technical case for XRP hinges on its ability to hold critical support levels while testing key resistance. Data from litefinance.org indicates that $1.77 serves as an initial support level, with $2.06 acting as a critical resistance threshold. A sustained close above $2.06 would validate the bullish thesis, signaling a potential breakout into the $2.27–$3.66 range. Conversely, a weekly close below $2.00 would invalidate the C wave structure, triggering deeper consolidation.

Notably, XRP's weekly chart has formed a higher low, a sign of stabilization that contrasts with distribution patterns typically seen in overbought assets. This consolidation around $2.06, coupled with consistent buying pressure at $2.00, suggests that former resistance is now acting as demand-a bullish reversal signal.

Wave-5 Breakout Potential and Long-Term Targets

If XRP successfully breaches $2.22-a level identified as the trigger for a Wave-5 breakout-investors could see the asset surge into the $3.50–$4.00 range. This projection is contingent on continued support holds and liquidity expansion, as outlined by CoinDesk in its analysis of XRP's short-term wave structure. The $3.50–$4.00 target, derived from historical supply zones and Fibonacci projections, represents a multi-bagger opportunity for investors willing to ride the wave.

However, the path to these levels is not without risk. Analysts caution that failure to maintain support above $2.00 could reopen the possibility of extended range-bound trading, particularly if macroeconomic conditions deteriorate or regulatory headwinds resurface.

Strategic Implications for Investors

For investors, the current setup presents a high-reward, low-risk entry point. The $2.26 target offers a clear risk-reward asymmetry, with a stop-loss below $1.77 limiting downside exposure. Given XRP's low float and high liquidity, a breakout above $2.06 could catalyze rapid price discovery, amplifying gains for early entrants.

Moreover, the broader market context-marked by improved institutional adoption and a maturing crypto ecosystem-lends credence to the bullish case. As stated by Elliott Wave Forecast, XRP's consolidation around key levels suggests that the asset is transitioning from a speculative narrative to a fundamentals-driven one.

Conclusion

XRP's Elliott Wave C structure and $2.26 target represent a strategic inflection point for the asset in late 2025. With technical indicators aligning and liquidity conditions improving, the case for a bullish breakout is both compelling and well-supported. While risks remain, the potential rewards-particularly for those who act decisively-justify a position in XRP as a speculative but high-probability trade.