XRP's Bull Run Could Be Powered by a Legal Win, ETF Hopes, and Breaking Key Resistance Levels

Analysts and market observers are growing increasingly bullish on XRP, the third-largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization, as it continues to outperform Bitcoin and Ethereum amid a maturing bull cycle. The XRP/BTC pair has surged nearly 300% since the re-election of U.S. President Donald Trump in November, fueled by the partial resolution of Ripple’s long-running legal battle with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) and rising speculation around potential U.S. spot ETF approvals. Technical indicators suggest XRP is on the verge of breaking key resistance levels that have historically capped its growth, potentially unlocking a rally of 100% to 250% in the coming months.

The weekly chart of XRP/BTC has formed a classic inverse head-and-shoulders pattern, with the neckline resistance currently at approximately 3,145 satoshi (1 satoshi equals 0.00000001 BTC). A decisive close above this level could validate the pattern and lead to a move toward 5,700 satoshi by the end of 2025, representing a more than 100% gain from current levels. In addition, XRP has printed a "golden cross" on its weekly time frame, with the 50-week exponential moving average (EMA) crossing above the 200-week EMA, a technical signal reinforcing bullish momentum.

XRP is also testing a long-standing resistance band spanning the 2,440–3,570 satoshi range. Analysts believe the recent regulatory clarity provided by Ripple’s 2025 partial settlement with the SEC has eased concerns around the token’s security status, increasing optimism that this bull cycle may finally see a breakout. Chartist Cryptoinsighttuk suggested that a breakout above this range could push XRP/BTC toward 9,000 satoshi, with the potential for further upside if broader market conditions align.

Price action on the XRP/USD pair has also shown signs of strength, with the token trading above $2.90 and showing bullish signals on the hourly chart. A break above $3.00 resistance could send XRP toward $3.050 and beyond, with analysts estimating the price might reach $3.150 if the breakout is sustained. On the other hand, a failure to clear $2.980 resistance could lead to a pullback toward $2.930 or even $2.860. Options data from Deribit further reinforces the bullish sentiment, with XRP call options trading at a premium to put options across all tenors. The December 2025 expiration calls are trading at a 6-volatility point premium over puts, indicating market participants are pricing in a strong year-end rally.

The potential approval of a U.S. spot XRP ETF is viewed as a key catalyst for the token’s next move. According to Nate Geraci, president of ETF Store, investor demand for a spot XRP ETF is being severely underestimated, drawing parallels to the initial launches of Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs, which attracted billions in institutional inflows. Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse has expressed optimism for a strong fourth quarter of 2025 and hinted that an XRP ETF could be approved by year-end. If approved, such an ETF could significantly increase Main Street access to XRP and accelerate price discovery.

Technical and sentiment analyses from multiple sources suggest XRP is well-positioned for a breakout, with the next two months likely to be pivotal in determining whether it will reach new all-time highs. Institutional adoption, regulatory clarity, and macroeconomic factors—including the expected Federal Reserve rate cut—could all play a role in unlocking XRP’s long-term potential. Analysts project a price range of $8–$10 by 2025 if adoption and ETF inflows accelerate, with even more bullish scenarios forecasting a move toward $20–$30 within the next year.