XRP's Bull Run Hinges on Breaking a 7-Year Resistance Wall

XRP, the native token of the XRP Ledger, has emerged as a standout performer in the current bull cycle, with analysts and market observers highlighting several bullish technical indicators that could push the asset higher. As of recent data, XRP has gained approximately 300% in value against Bitcoin since Donald Trump’s election in November 2024, outpacing Bitcoin’s performance amid a broader shift in investor sentiment toward altcoins [1]. Analysts attribute this momentum to a combination of factors, including Ripple’s ongoing resolution with the SEC, a strengthening altcoin season, and favorable chart patterns.

One of the key technical setups supporting XRP is the inverse head-and-shoulders (IH&S) pattern on the XRP/BTC weekly chart. This pattern, historically a reliable bullish reversal signal, suggests the potential for a 100% price increase if XRP breaks above the critical neckline near 3,145 satoshi. A successful breakout could push the pair to 5,700 satoshi by the end of 2025, representing a significant upside for XRP [1]. Additionally, XRP has formed a "golden cross," with its 50-week exponential moving average crossing above the 200-week EMA in August, reinforcing the long-term bullish momentum [1].

The token also faces a significant resistance band spanning from 2,440 to 3,570 satoshi, a level that has historically prevented upward movement since mid-2019. However, Ripple’s partial settlement with the SEC earlier in 2025 has alleviated regulatory concerns, raising the possibility that this cycle could finally see a breakout [1]. Analyst Cryptoinsighttuk notes that breaking above this range could send XRP/BTC as high as 9,000 satoshi, underscoring the potential magnitude of the rally [1].

On the price front, pseudonymous analyst XForceGlobal has set a bold target of $20 for XRP in this cycle, calling it the "primary cycle target." While short-term resistance remains at the $4 level—evidenced by a double top formation—long-term factors such as macroeconomic trends and bullish wave patterns support the potential for XRP to reach that level [3]. XForceGlobal emphasized that the token must remain above $1.50 for the remainder of the cycle to maintain its bullish trajectory.

The broader altcoin market is also showing signs of a potential rotation away from Bitcoin dominance. As Bitcoin’s dominance index has fallen to around 57%, the lowest since January 2025, capital is increasingly flowing into altcoins like XRP. Analysts suggest that the approval of additional U.S. cryptocurrency ETFs could accelerate this trend and further boost XRP’s performance [1]. Coinbase Institutional’s head of research, David Duong, noted in an August outlook that market conditions are pointing toward a full-scale altcoin season as we move into September [1].

Chainalysis has also expanded its support for the XRP Ledger, offering automatic token monitoring for over 260,000 XRPL tokens. This includes support for both fungible and non-fungible tokens, enhancing the network’s utility and transparency for institutional and regulatory purposes [2]. The move highlights the growing adoption of XRP Ledger and its increasing relevance in the global blockchain ecosystem.

Source:

[1] Can XRP keep outperforming Bitcoin this bull cycle? (https://cointelegraph.com/news/can-xrp-keep-outperforming-bitcoin-this-bull-cycle)

[2] Automatic Token Support for XRP Ledger (https://www.chainalysis.com/blog/xrp-ledger-automatic-token-support-september-2025-2/)

[3] Analyst Caps Ripple's XRP Cycle Target at $20—How Realistic Is the Prediction? (https://zycrypto.com/analyst-caps-ripples-xrp-cycle-target-at-20-how-realistic-is-the-prediction/)