XRP/BTC Breakout Signals Potential 2025 Surge

Prominent cryptocurrency analyst JD has shared a technical chart analysis of the XRP/BTC trading pair, highlighting a pivotal turning point for XRP holders. The chart, which spans from 2017 through 2027 on a monthly scale, illustrates a massive descending triangle pattern that appears to have finally broken to the upside. According to JD, the breakout above the long-standing downtrend line signals that 2025 could be a decisive year for XRP investors, either delivering significant gains or resulting in a major rejection and prolonged downside.

JD emphasized the importance of the current breakout zone, noting the region around 0.00002500 BTC as “very strong support” that “needs to hold.” This level corresponds with an area that has repeatedly been a pivot in past market cycles, both as support and resistance. The structure shows XRP is consolidating within a narrowing range since its peak in early 2018, now showing a definitive breakout candle, positioning the asset above the descending resistance line for the first time in several years.

JD’s analysis suggests that if XRP can maintain its momentum and establish support above this critical level, the next logical price target lies in the green-highlighted zone above. This could correspond to a potential surge in XRP’s market dominance relative to Bitcoin. If the breakout holds, the XRP/BTC pair may revisit levels not seen since early 2018. However, the analysis also highlights downside risk if support fails, which could invalidate the breakout and return the pair to its longer-term consolidation pattern.

When asked by a follower what the green box would represent in USD terms, JD responded that he wasn’t exactly sure, but he believed it would be “in the 2 digits.” This suggests a potential XRP valuation above $10, depending on BTC’s price and market conditions. JD did not offer a specific USD target but hinted that further analysis is possible once a retracement level is confirmed.

Another follower, XRP Tony, raised the question of where JD believes XRP will top out in this cycle, particularly in light of significant developments related to Ripple, such as its acquisition of the fintech company Hidden Road. JD did not provide a final target but reiterated that price projections would become clearer once confirmation of structure and retracement levels is established on the chart. He added that he is “hoping to break out from its prior structure in lower timeframe (falling wedge).”

JD’s chart does not show any definitive timing, but the structure of the pattern implies that the price action over the next several months will be crucial. The area highlighted in green suggests a bullish continuation. However, a red arrow pointing downward also acknowledges the risk of a failed breakout — something JD warns could result in a significant reversal into the broader triangle pattern. This technical setup, coupled with macro developments surrounding XRP and Ripple Labs, has set the stage for an important inflection point in XRP’s long-term performance relative to Bitcoin. While JD remains cautiously optimistic, the key to this bullish scenario remains the ability of XRP to maintain support above the breakout level and confirm it as a new base for further upward movement.