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XRP's on-chain data shows whale accumulation of 620 million
, while large wallet balances decline to $104 billion . Institutional demand for XRP surged, with ETF inflows totaling $1.3 billion in 50 days, indicating growing confidence among major investors . XRP's tokenized assets on the XRPL increased by 2,200% in 2025, reaching $567.9 million, driven by Ripple's RLUSD stablecoin and institutional partnerships .XRP's on-chain dynamics in late 2025 and early 2026 reflect a complex mix of whale behavior, institutional inflows, and regulatory clarity. Whale activity has surged, with over 620 million XRP (worth $1.36 billion) accumulated in a short period, signaling confidence in the token's potential rebound
. Meanwhile, large wallet balances have declined to $104 billion by late 2025, reflecting short-term selling pressure. These mixed signals highlight the importance of tracking whale movements and institutional flows as key indicators of potential price volatility.Institutional demand for XRP has grown significantly, with U.S.-listed ETFs absorbing $1.3 billion in assets under management in just 50 days. This demand is supported by regulatory clarity following the August 2025 SEC resolution and the potential for the CLARITY Act to further normalize digital asset adoption
. Ripple's On-Demand Liquidity (ODL) service, now used by 40% of RippleNet institutions to handle $15 billion in cross-border payments, demonstrates XRP's real-world utility. This infrastructure role positions XRP as a key player in the $150 trillion global payments market .XRP's tokenization on the XRP Ledger (XRPL) surged by 2,200% in 2025, reaching $567.9 million, driven by Ripple's RLUSD stablecoin, which hit a $1.3 billion market cap
. Archax committed to onboarding $1 billion in assets on-chain by mid-2026, while Ripple's acquisition of Hidden Road provided institutional infrastructure for tokenization. These developments suggest continued institutional interest in XRPL, with potential for $3-6 billion in tokenized assets by late 2026 if adoption trends persist.Whale behavior in late 2025 and early 2026 tells a nuanced story. While the number of wallets holding over 1 million XRP hit an all-time high of 2,700 mid-2025, large wallet balances declined by late 2025 to $104 billion
. This suggests a shift toward long-term holding strategies among key stakeholders. Whale accumulation of 620 million XRP in late 2025, a "buy-the-dip" move, highlights confidence in XRP's potential rebound. Large transfers, such as Ripple's $439 million to an unidentified wallet and a $101 million movement to Binance, underscore growing liquidity .
Despite these bullish signals, caution remains warranted. The decline in large wallet balances and negative whale flows in late 2025 highlight the risks of overexposure
. Investors should monitor velocity metrics and ETF inflows as counterbalances to whale-driven volatility. If XRP maintains support at critical levels and regulatory hurdles ease, the first quarter of 2026 could present a favorable entry window, particularly if velocity remains elevated and institutional buying persists.ETF inflows have been a significant driver of XRP's price trajectory. In 50 days, XRP ETFs absorbed $1.3 billion in assets under management, with 43 consecutive positive inflow days, signaling strong institutional demand
. This demand is supported by major asset managers like Franklin Templeton, Bitwise, and Grayscale normalizing XRP exposure. The SEC's August 2025 resolution removed regulatory uncertainty, enhancing XRP's legitimacy as an investment. The CLARITY Act could further normalize digital asset adoption, potentially expanding XRP's investor base.XRP's adoption by major institutions is also a key factor. Ripple's ODL service enables real-time cross-border transactions, offering a cheaper and faster alternative to traditional SWIFT systems
. This utility could help XRP capture a 14% share of SWIFT's $150 trillion market. Additionally, RLUSD, Ripple's U.S.-regulated stablecoin, is being used for cross-border settlements, creating additional XRP demand through transaction fees and burn mechanisms .On-chain activity provides critical insights into XRP's market potential. In late 2025, network velocity—a metric measuring how frequently tokens change hands—hit a yearly high of 0.0324
. This surge, driven by active trading and whale movements, suggests that XRP is circulating more rapidly than in previous years. High velocity often correlates with increased market participation and liquidity, which can stabilize price swings during periods of volatility. However, it also raises the risk of sharp corrections if large holders decide to offload positions.XRP's on-chain activity also highlights the importance of tracking whale behavior and institutional flows. Whale Alert and Santiment tools indicate that reactivations of dormant wallets and large transfers often precede price movements. The $1.36 billion accumulation by whales in late 2025 coincided with an 8% price jump in XRP, suggesting that strategic buy-the-dip activity can signal short-term opportunities
. However, caution is warranted as the decline in large wallet balances and negative whale flows in late 2025 highlight the risks of overexposure.The growing institutional interest in XRP, combined with on-chain dynamics and regulatory clarity, suggests that the token is well-positioned for potential price appreciation in early 2026. If XRP maintains support at critical levels and regulatory hurdles ease, the first quarter of 2026 could present a favorable entry window, particularly if velocity remains elevated and institutional buying persists
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