Is XRP's $1.80–$1.90 Support Zone the Key to a Major Rebound?

XRP, the native asset of Ripple's blockchain network, has entered a pivotal phase in 2025 as it consolidates within a critical $1.80–$2.00 support zone. This region has emerged as a focal point for both technical and behavioral analysis, with traders and analysts debating whether it represents a temporary floor or a catalyst for a broader bullish reversal. Below, we dissect the dynamics shaping XRP's near-term trajectory, focusing on price action, on-chain behavior, and the interplay of technical indicators.

Technical Analysis: A Battle for Control

XRP's price action has been confined to a descending channel and a descending triangle pattern, both of which suggest a high probability of a breakout in either direction. The $1.80–$1.90 zone has shown remarkable resilience, with repeated bounces indicating strong buyer interest. According to AltSignals, this area has acted as a psychological floor, with sustained net outflows from exchanges suggesting accumulation by long-term holders.

A critical technical development is the formation of a double bottom near $1.80. If confirmed by volume and price action, this pattern could signal a measured move target of $2.70, according to Brave New Coin. However, recent bearish momentum has tested this narrative. XRP's 7% drop to $2.05 in late 2025 has exposed the $1.87–$1.80 zone as the next potential battleground, with analysts cautioning that a breakdown below $2.05 would invalidate the bullish case.

Technical indicators add nuance to this debate. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) has shown bullish divergence, with higher lows forming despite lower price lows-a sign of waning bearish momentum according to AltSignals. Meanwhile, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) remains in a neutral to bearish range, reflecting cautious short-term sentiment according to Brave New Coin. A breakout above $2.10, as highlighted by AltSignals, could trigger a shift in momentum toward $2.80 and beyond.

Behavioral and On-Chain Insights

XRP's price consolidates near a critical support zone amid sustained net outflows from exchanges, indicating accumulation by long-term holders.

On-chain data reinforces the technical narrative. Sustained exchange outflows-where large holders are moving XRP to cold storage-suggest reduced short-term selling pressure and a buildup of accumulation according to AltSignals. This behavior aligns with historical patterns where prolonged consolidation precedes sharp rallies. However, the recent breakdown below $2.40 has raised concerns about near-term liquidity, with Yahoo Finance noting that this level could expose deeper support zones according to MEXC.

Behavioral analysis also highlights the importance of volume confirmation. For a bullish reversal to gain credibility, XRP must reclaim $2.16 on strong volume, invalidating the bearish structure and reestablishing upward momentum according to Yahoo Finance. Conversely, a failure to hold above $1.80 could reignite selling pressure, testing the validity of the double bottom pattern.

Downside Risk and Breakout Scenarios

The $1.80–$1.90 zone is not just a technical level but a psychological battleground. A successful defense here would likely trigger a rebound toward $2.10, with the potential for a broader rally if the MACD turns upward and volume surges according to Brave New Coin. However, the risk of a breakdown remains, particularly if bearish momentum intensifies. CoinDCX analysts note that a sustained close below $1.80 could open the door to a retest of the 2024 lows, potentially dragging XRP toward $1.50.

For breakout scenarios, traders are advised to monitor two key levels:
1. $2.10: A breakout above this level would signal a shift in momentum, validating the descending triangle's bullish case.
2. $1.80: A strong hold here would confirm the double bottom pattern, setting the stage for a measured move to $2.70 according to Brave New Coin.

Conclusion: A Tipping Point for XRP

XRP's $1.80–$1.90 support zone represents a critical inflection point in 2025. While technical indicators and on-chain data suggest a plausible bullish reversal, the recent breakdowns underscore the fragility of this narrative. Investors must weigh the potential for a rebound against the risk of further downside, with volume and price action above $2.10 serving as key confirmatory signals.

As the market navigates this consolidation phase, the coming weeks will be pivotal. A successful defense of the $1.80–$1.90 zone could reignite bullish sentiment, but a breakdown would likely extend the bearish correction. For now, the support zone remains the linchpin of XRP's near-term outlook.