Xpeng (XPEV) Surges 14.1% on Record Deliveries and Global Expansion Hype

Summary
• Xpeng (XPEV) rockets 14.1% to $25.59, hitting an intraday high of $25.61
• October deliveries jump 76% YoY to 42,013 units, entering seven new international markets
• Options frenzy: 20 contracts traded with implied volatility spiking to 70%+
• Sector leader Tesla (TSLA) gains 3.89% as EV demand remains robust

Xpeng’s stock is in a tailwind after smashing delivery records and expanding globally, with options activity surging as traders bet on momentum. The EV sector remains in focus as Tesla’s self-driving ambitions and Xpeng’s robotaxi roadmap fuel optimism. Technical indicators suggest a short-term bullish breakout, but long-term profitability concerns linger.

Record Deliveries and Global Expansion Ignite Xpeng’s Rally
Xpeng’s 14.1% intraday surge stems from its October 2025 delivery report, which revealed 42,013 units sold—a 76% YoY increase and the second consecutive month exceeding 40,000 units. The company also expanded into seven new markets (Lithuania, Latvia, Estonia, Cambodia, Morocco, Tunisia, Qatar), signaling aggressive global ambitions. Analysts highlight the Mona M03 sedan’s 13th consecutive month of 10,000+ deliveries as a key driver, with Xpeng’s AI Day roadmap for robotaxis and Physical AI adding speculative momentum. Despite a -76.36 P/E ratio, the stock’s surge reflects optimism about scaling production and international growth, even as profitability remains unproven.

EV Sector Gains Momentum as Tesla, Xpeng Lead Charge
The EV sector is in a bullish phase, with Tesla (TSLA) rising 3.89% and Xpeng (XPEV) surging 14.1%. Tesla’s recent self-driving tech updates and Xpeng’s robotaxi plans are fueling investor enthusiasm. While Tesla dominates with $700B+ market cap, Xpeng’s aggressive international expansion and record deliveries position it as a high-growth contender. However, Xpeng’s -76.36 P/E ratio highlights its unprofitability, contrasting with Tesla’s improving margins. The sector’s momentum is underpinned by AI-driven innovation and global EV adoption trends.

Options and ETFs to Capitalize on Xpeng’s Volatility
• MACD: 0.266 (bullish), Signal Line: 0.242, Histogram: 0.024
• RSI: 55.45 (neutral to bullish)
• Bollinger Bands: Upper $24.10, Middle $22.24, Lower $20.39
• 200D MA: $20.12 (well below current price)

Xpeng’s technicals suggest a short-term bullish breakout, with the stock trading above its 200D MA and RSI hovering near neutral. The 14.1% intraday gain has pushed the stock toward its 52W high of $27.16, but the -76.36 P/E ratio underscores long-term risks. Traders should watch the $25.61 intraday high as a key resistance level and the $23.55 low as support. The options market is volatile, with implied volatility averaging 67–72%, making leveraged calls attractive for aggressive bulls.

Top Options Picks:
• XPEV20251114C26 (Call, $26 strike, Nov 14 expiry):
- IV: 69.27% (high)
- Leverage Ratio: 39.95% (strong)
- Delta: 0.436 (moderate sensitivity)
- Theta: -0.168 (rapid time decay)
- Gamma: 0.190 (high sensitivity to price moves)
- Turnover: $327,276 (liquid)
- Why it stands out: This call offers a 733% price change potential if XPEV breaks above $26, with high gamma amplifying gains from further rallies. A 5% upside to $26.87 would yield a payoff of $0.87 per contract.

• XPEV20251121C25.5 (Call, $25.5 strike, Nov 21 expiry):
- IV: 78.62% (very high)
- Leverage Ratio: 17.04% (moderate)
- Delta: 0.539 (strong sensitivity)
- Theta: -0.102 (moderate decay)
- Gamma: 0.109 (high sensitivity)
- Turnover: $158,495 (liquid)
- Why it stands out: This call balances leverage and liquidity, ideal for a mid-term bet on XPEV’s AI Day momentum. A 5% upside to $26.87 would generate a $1.37 payoff, leveraging high gamma for price swings.

Action: Aggressive bulls should target XPEV20251114C26 for a short-term breakout play, while XPEV20251121C25.5 offers a safer, mid-term leveraged position. Both contracts benefit from XPEV’s AI Day event on Nov 5 and earnings on Nov 17.

Backtest Xpeng Stock Performance
Key observations from the event study 1. Immediate impact (T + 1). • Avg. close-to-close return: +3.53 % • Win-rate: 61.5 % (8 of 13 events) • Statistically positive. 2. Mean-reversion thereafter. • From T + 2 onward, cumulative returns turn negative and stay there. • By T + 10: –7.06 %; by T + 30: –9.12 %. • No day beyond T + 1 shows statistical significance. 3. Relative performance. • Over the same horizons the CSI Electric Vehicle peer index (proxy) rose ~1.9 %, so post-surge under-performance is pronounced. 4. Practical takeaway. • The 14 %+ intraday spike has historically been an exhaustion move rather than the start of a sustained trend; fading the move after day 1, or taking profits the next session, would have out-performed holding. • The sample contains only 13 events (2022-03-17 to 2025-03-12); results should be interpreted with moderation. Parameter notes (auto-completed) • Price series: daily close (standard for event studies). • Analysis window: 30 trading days post-event (industry default when the user didn’t specify). You can explore all interactive statistics, cumulative-return curves and per-event details in the module on the right.

Xpeng’s Rally: A High-Volatility Play on AI and Global Expansion
Xpeng’s 14.1% surge reflects investor optimism about its record deliveries and global expansion, but the stock’s -76.36 P/E ratio and unproven profitability remain risks. Technicals favor a short-term bullish breakout, with key levels at $25.61 (resistance) and $23.55 (support). Options traders should prioritize high-gamma calls like XPEV20251114C26 for aggressive upside potential. The EV sector, led by Tesla’s 3.89% gain, remains in focus as AI-driven innovation and global EV adoption trends persist. Act now: Buy XPEV20251114C26 if $26 is breached, or hold XPEV20251121C25.5 for a mid-term AI Day play. Watch Tesla’s self-driving roadmap and Xpeng’s Nov 17 earnings for catalysts.