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Here’s the takeaway: XOM’s options activity and technicals hint at a bullish bias, but with caution below key support. Let’s break it down.
What the Options Chain Reveals About Market SentimentThe options market is a goldmine for hidden signals. For
, call open interest spikes at $117 (4,443 contracts) and $120 (4,457 contracts) for Friday’s expiration, while puts peak at $111 (4,213) and $115 (2,742). This isn’t random—it tells a story.Think of it like a crowd at a crossroads: more traders are betting on a push above $117 than a drop below $111. The put/call ratio of 0.69 (favoring calls) reinforces this. But don’t ignore the puts entirely—they signal a risk of a pullback if oil prices or energy demand stumble.
Key risk zones? If XOM dips below its 30-day support at $112.65, the 200-day support at $108.27 could be next. That’s a 7% drop from current levels—enough to trigger panic in a volatile market.How Earnings and Project News Shape the NarrativeExxon’s Q3 results were a blockbuster: $7.5 billion in earnings and $6.3 billion in free cash flow. That’s the kind of strength that fuels call buying. But the hydrogen project freeze? A speed bump.
Here’s the twist: investors might shrug off the project delay if they’re focused on Exxon’s ability to return cash to shareholders ($9.4 billion in distributions). The problem? If clean energy transitions stall globally, the $117–$120 calls could face headwinds. For now, though, earnings optimism seems to outweigh the hydrogen setback.
Actionable Trade Ideas for TodayFor Options Traders:Exxon’s story isn’t just about today—it’s about balancing short-term bearish momentum with long-term energy transition bets. The options market is pricing in a 6–8% move by Nov 28, given the heavy OI at $117–$120.
But here’s the catch: if oil prices dip or macroeconomic fears resurface, the puts at $111 could gain steam. Keep an eye on the 30-day moving average ($115.62) as a critical line in the sand.
Bottom line? XOM is in a tightrope walk between earnings-driven optimism and energy transition uncertainty. For traders, that means opportunities—but only if you respect the support levels and watch for shifts in options sentiment.
Final thought: The market’s betting on a rebound. Your job? Decide if you’re riding the call train or hedging with puts. Either way, don’t let emotion override the data.
Focus on daily option trades

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