Wynn Resorts Outlook - Mixed Signals Amid Fundamentals and Technical Neutrality

Market Snapshot

Takeaway: Wynn Resorts (WYNN.O) is in a state of technical neutrality, with mixed signals from recent indicators. The price has fallen by 4.18% recently, while analyst views remain fragmented but leaning toward a bearish outlook.

News Highlights

Recent news in the hospitality sector has been largely neutral or bearish. On May 30, Morgan Stanley analyst Stephen Grambling cut the price target for Choice Hotels (CHH), signaling caution in the sector. Other developments include the launch of Hyatt’s new soft brand and expansion plans by several hotel chains, suggesting broader industry growth but not necessarily benefiting Wynn Resorts in the near term.

Analyst Views & Fundamentals

• Average Rating Score (Simple Mean): 4.67
• Weighted Rating Score (Performance-Weighted): 1.78
• Rating Consistency: Analysts are divided—two “Strong Buy” and one “Buy” ratings, but these do not align with the recent price drop.
• How Scores Align with Price Trend: The strong buy ratings contrast with the current 4.18% price decline, indicating a gap between analyst optimism and market sentiment.
• Key Fundamental Factors:
  • EV/EBIT: 86.18 (internal diagnostic score: 0.00)
  • ROA: 0.61% (internal diagnostic score: 0.00)
  • Net Income / Revenue: -0.86% (internal diagnostic score: 2.00)
  • Total Profit YoY Growth: -48.68% (internal diagnostic score: 0.00)
  • Total Profit / EBIT: 39.39% (internal diagnostic score: 0.00)
  • Long-Term Debt / Working Capital: 140.89% (internal diagnostic score: 1.00)
  • Cash-Up: 1.04 (internal diagnostic score: 0.00)
  • Inventory Turnover Days: 7.06 (internal diagnostic score: 2.00)
  • Cash / Market Value: 60.87% (internal diagnostic score: 0.00)

Money-Flow Trends

Big-money and retail flows are pulling in opposite directions. The overall inflow ratio is 49.85%, with 49.72% attributed to large block trades showing a negative trend. However, medium and small flows are positive, suggesting some retail and mid-sized investors are accumulating WYNN shares despite the bearish block-trading activity.

Key Technical Signals

• WR Overbought: Score of 8.37 (internal diagnostic score). This suggests strong bullish momentum from the Williams %R indicator.
• RSI Overbought: Score of 7.64 (internal diagnostic score), indicating a bullish bias from the RSI.
• MACD Death Cross: Score of 1.00 (internal diagnostic score), a strong bearish signal recently triggered on September 9.
• Dividend Payable Date: Score of 3.61 (internal diagnostic score), a neutral indicator with mixed historical performance.
• Recent Chart Patterns: On September 9, a MACD Death Cross emerged. Before that, WR and RSI overbought signals were active multiple times between August 28 and September 3.
• Technical Summary: The market is in a volatile wait-and-see phase with balanced bullish and bearish signals.

Conclusion

Wynn Resorts remains in a technically neutral state, with internal diagnostic scores split between strong overbought indicators and a recent death cross. The fundamentals are weak, and while analysts remain optimistic with multiple “Strong Buy” ratings, the market is not reflecting that confidence. Consider waiting for a clearer breakout or waiting for earnings to confirm direction.