Worldcoin (WLD): Can the $0.55 Support Level Hold Amid Team Token Transfers and Intensifying Sell Pressure?

In late November 2025, Worldcoin (WLD) finds itself at a pivotal crossroads. The token has been battered by a confluence of factors: a massive team token transfer, a linear emission schedule flooding the market with new supply, and a broader bearish sentiment reflected in technical indicators and on-chain behavior. The critical question now is whether the $0.55 support level-a psychological and technical linchpin-can withstand the mounting pressure.

Technical Analysis: A Fragile Defense

WLD's price action in November 2025 has been a textbook case of capitulation. As of November 28, the token traded at $0.645, below its 30-day simple moving average (SMA) of $0.725 and key Fibonacci retracement levels. The $0.55 support level, once a potential floor, now faces existential threats. According to analysis, if WLD closes below this threshold, it risks a cascading decline toward $0.50.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) offers little optimism. At 40.21 on November 28, the RSI suggested no immediate oversold bounce, while the MACD histogram's weak positive reading (+0.0076) failed to offset the bearish signal of the MACD line remaining below the signal line(https://coinmarketcap.com/cmc-ai/worldcoin-org/price-analysis/). Meanwhile, the Stochastic Momentum Index has plunged into negative territory, and the Spot Taker CVD turned red, underscoring seller dominance.

A glimmer of hope lies in the descending wedge pattern observed in early November, with $0.68–$0.76 identified as a short-term recovery zone(https://jrkripto.com/en/news/wld-comment-and-price-analysis-november-11-2025). However, a breakdown below $0.68 would expose the price to further declines toward $0.54. The 20-day SMA at $0.69 remains a critical reentry point for bulls(https://www.mexc.co/news/205060), but reclaiming this level would require a surge in buying pressure that has yet to materialize.

Behavioral Market Analysis: Accumulation Amid Chaos

While technical indicators paint a grim picture, on-chain data reveals a subtler narrative. Whale activity has spiked, with large wallets accumulating WLD while exchange reserves shrink. This pattern, historically associated with early accumulation phases, suggests that "smart money" is positioning for a potential rebound. According to analyst Vertix, on November 13, whale wallets were "steadily increasing holdings," a sign of confidence in the token's long-term prospects.

Exchange inflows, however, tell a different story. The Worldcoin team's recent transfer of 44 million tokens ($25.6 million) to team-linked addresses has raised alarms about potential liquidity outflows. Historical data shows tokens from these wallets often route to exchanges via Amber Group, amplifying sell pressure. This dynamic is compounded by the daily unlocking of 37.23 million WLD tokens ($25.47 million), which increases circulating supply and risks further price erosion.

Social sentiment remains mixed. The Fear & Greed Index hit "Extreme Fear" in November 2025, reflecting widespread risk aversion. Yet, WLD's active address count and daily user base have stabilized, with 1 million active addresses and 60,000+ daily users (https://ambcrypto.com/worldcoin-rallies-16-hits-1m-users-is-a-1-2-wld-breakout-near/). These metrics suggest sustained network demand, though they may not translate to immediate price action.

The $0.55 Support Level: A Battle of Bulls and Bears

The $0.55 level is more than a number-it's a psychological battleground. According to analysis, a successful defense here could trigger a short-term rebound, with $0.60 as the next target. However, a breakdown would likely accelerate the downtrend to $0.50, with the broader market's bearish momentum acting as a tailwind.

The key variable is the interplay between whale accumulation and institutional selling. If large holders continue to hoard WLD while exchange balances shrink, the $0.55 level could hold. But if the team's token transfers and emission unlocks overwhelm this accumulation, the support level may crumble.

Conclusion: A High-Stakes Test for WLD

Worldcoin's November 2025 saga is a microcosm of the crypto market's volatility. The $0.55 support level represents both a technical inflection point and a test of market psychology. While technical indicators and on-chain behavior hint at a potential rebound, the risks of capitulation remain acute. Investors must weigh the fragile hope of a bullish breakout against the reality of intensifying sell pressure.

In the end, the answer to whether $0.55 holds may hinge on one question: Can the market's fear be outlasted by the patience of smart money?