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• Price remains tightly consolidated near 1.0001, with minimal volatility and no clear breakout.
• A sharp sell-off emerged after 22:45 ET, pulling price down to 0.9998 before partial recovery.
• Volume surged late in the session, with over 2.2 million contracts traded after 10:45 ET.
• RSI is neutral but drifting lower, indicating potential for bearish follow-through.
•

World Liberty Financial USD (USD1USDT) opened at 1.0001 on 2025-08-10 at 12:00 ET, reached a high of 1.0006 and a low of 0.9998, and closed at 0.9999 at 12:00 ET on 2025-08-11. Total volume over the 24-hour period was 10,915,253.0, with notional turnover estimated in line with the average price.
Price has remained tightly within a 0.0003 range for most of the 24-hour period, with no clear bullish or bearish breakout. The session saw a short-lived rally to 1.0006 around 1:30 AM ET, followed by a sharp correction to 0.9998 after 22:45 ET. This correction formed a bearish engulfing pattern, suggesting potential for a near-term pullback. A key support level appears to be forming around 0.9998–0.9999, which has been retested multiple times in the past 24 hours.
On the 15-minute chart, the 20-period and 50-period moving averages are closely aligned near 1.0001, reinforcing the sideways consolidation. On the daily chart, the 50-period, 100-period, and 200-period lines are all within a narrow band around 1.0001 as well, indicating a neutral to slightly bearish bias in longer timeframes.
The MACD remains near zero with no clear directional momentum, reflecting the range-bound trading environment. The RSI has drifted from neutral to slightly bearish territory, dipping below 50 during the late-night sell-off. While not yet in oversold territory, the indicator suggests some potential for a continuation of the bearish move unless buyers intervene above 1.0001.
Bollinger Bands have remained compressed throughout most of the 24-hour period, with price staying near the midline. This indicates low volatility and a possible consolidation phase before a breakout. A widening of the bands may signal an upcoming move, either higher or lower, though current readings do not favor a definitive direction.
Volume spiked dramatically in the last 4 hours of the session, with over 2.2 million contracts traded during the 10:45–11:45 ET period. This increase in volume coincided with a decline in price, suggesting bearish conviction. The divergence between the earlier consolidation and late-session selling may signal a shift in sentiment. However, the lack of follow-through buying during earlier rallies indicates weak bullish interest.
Applying Fibonacci retracement levels to the 1.0006–0.9998 swing shows key levels at 0.9999 (38.2%) and 0.9998 (61.8%). Price has bounced off the 61.8% level multiple times in the last 4 hours, indicating strong support. A break below 0.9998 could target 0.9997 as the next Fibonacci level, though this would require additional selling pressure.
In the next 24 hours, USD1USDT may continue to test the 0.9998–0.9999 support range, with the potential for a small breakout should volatility pick up. Traders should watch for a break of Bollinger Bands or a decisive move above 1.0001 to signal a trend resumption. As always, the low liquidity during market hours should be a cautionary factor for aggressive short-term bets.
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