World Liberty Financial/Tether (WLFIUSDT) Market Overview

• Price surged 0.1436 to 0.1436 in 24 hours amid rising volatility and volume.
• RSI near overbought levels suggests potential pullback; Bollinger Bands show tightening.
• Volume spiked after 18:00 ET, coinciding with a breakout above key resistance.
• Fibonacci 61.8% level at 0.1482 appears to act as a dynamic support zone.
• MACD crossover and bullish divergence hint at momentum favoring longs.

World Liberty Financial/Tether (WLFIUSDT) opened at 0.141 on October 13, 2025 (12:00 ET − 1), surged to 0.1526, and closed at 0.1436 on October 14, 2025 (12:00 ET). The pair traded at an average of 0.1447, with total volume of 139,314,332.8 and notional turnover of 20,104,473. The market showed strong bullish momentum with sharp intraday swings and a volume spike in late trading.

Structure & Formations

WLFIUSDT exhibited a strong bullish bias from 18:00 to 20:00 ET, with a breakout above the 0.1482 resistance level. A bullish engulfing pattern formed around 19:15 ET, confirming the reversal from a bearish trend. A doji appeared near 0.1487 at 20:30 ET, suggesting indecision and potential consolidation ahead. The price has since found support at 0.1436 and may test 0.1402 as the next critical support.

Moving Averages

On the 15-minute chart, the 20-period and 50-period moving averages are bullish, with the price sitting above both. On the daily chart, the 50-period MA crossed above the 100-period MA, indicating a long-term positive trend. The 200-period MA remains bearish at 0.1428, but the price is showing strength to outperform this historical resistance.

MACD & RSI

The MACD crossed above the signal line in the last 12 hours, confirming bullish momentum. The histogram has been expanding since 18:00 ET, aligning with higher volume. RSI is currently at 62, approaching overbought territory, suggesting a possible correction. If RSI closes above 65, traders may expect a short-term pullback before a potential resumption of the uptrend.

Bollinger Bands

The Bollinger Bands have been contracting since 20:00 ET, indicating a period of low volatility before a potential breakout. The price is now sitting near the upper band, suggesting continued bullish pressure. A breakdown below the middle band may signal the end of the current uptrend and a return to range-bound trading.

Volume & Turnover

Volume surged after 18:00 ET, particularly between 18:30 and 20:00, coinciding with a breakout above the 0.1482 level. Turnover increased by 27% during this period, supporting the legitimacy of the move. Divergences between volume and price were minimal, indicating strong conviction in the uptrend. However, recent volume has decreased, suggesting reduced participation as the trend matures.

Fibonacci Retracements

Applying Fibonacci retracements to the 24-hour swing high (0.1526) and low (0.1402), the 38.2% level at 0.1463 and 61.8% level at 0.1482 have acted as key price anchors. The 61.8% level appears to be a dynamic support zone, with the price bouncing off it in multiple instances. A close below 0.1450 could trigger a test of the 50% retracement level at 0.1464.

Backtest Hypothesis

Given the recent RSI readings pushing toward overbought territory, a “Sell on RSI Overbought” strategy could be tested using the following logic:
Sell when RSI closes above 70, and exit the short when RSI drops back below 50 (neutral level). This approach aims to capture short-term mean reversion in a strong uptrend. Using this rule, backtesting WLFIUSDT from January 1, 2022, to today would generate signals and evaluate performance against a buy-and-hold baseline. Given the current RSI at 62, a closing above 70 would trigger a sell signal.