World Liberty Financial/Tether (WLFIUSDT) Market Overview

• Price rallied from 0.197 to 0.2031 during the 24-hour period, with strong momentum late in the session.
• RSI hit 58–61 range late, indicating moderate strength without reaching overbought levels.
• Bollinger Bands widened midday, showing increased volatility following the morning breakout.
• Volume increased significantly in the 08:00–15:00 ET window, confirming price strength.
• A key 0.2015–0.2025 consolidation zone was tested twice and ultimately broken to the upside.

24-Hour Price and Volume Snapshot

World Liberty Financial/Tether (WLFIUSDT) opened at 0.197 on 2025-10-04 12:00 ET and closed at 0.2004 as of 2025-10-05 12:00 ET. The price reached a high of 0.204 and a low of 0.197. Total volume for the 24-hour period was 120,283,660.2 units, while notional turnover (volume × price) amounted to approximately $24,137,723, based on an average close price of ~$0.2006.

Structure & Formations

The 15-minute chart shows a textbook bullish consolidation into a 0.2015–0.2025 range before breaking out with a strong reversal candle at 03:15 ET. The breakout was confirmed with a higher high and higher close structure over the next 3 hours. A bullish engulfing pattern formed at 02:45 ET, followed by a strong continuation into 05:00 ET, signaling strong institutional buying. A small bearish divergence emerged at 09:45 ET, suggesting a minor profit-taking phase, though the trend remained intact.

Moving Averages and Momentum

On the 15-minute chart, the 20-EMA crossed above the 50-EMA at ~0.2008, confirming a short-term bullish bias. The 50-EMA held around 0.2003, acting as a support line for the majority of the day. On the daily chart, the 50-EMA (not provided in input data) would have likely held a key 0.199–0.201 zone, suggesting a broader uptrend may still be intact. MACD crossed into positive territory around 02:45 ET and remained bullish until 10:00 ET, while RSI climbed to 58–61, showing moderate momentum without reaching overbought levels.

Volatility and Fibonacci

Bollinger Bands expanded significantly from 03:00–06:00 ET, confirming increased volatility during the breakout phase. Price spent most of the session above the 20-period moving average and within the upper band, suggesting strong conviction in the uptrend. Applying Fibonacci retracement to the 0.197–0.204 swing, the 61.8% level sits at ~0.2019, which was briefly tested but not rejected. A 38.2% retracement at ~0.2008 acted as a temporary resistance-turned-support after the 10:00 ET pullback.

Backtest Hypothesis

A potential backtest strategy could involve a trend-following entry at the 20-EMA breakout with a stop-loss below the 50-EMA. Given the 15-minute structure, a long entry at 02:45 ET (on the bullish engulfing candle) would have yielded a ~1.1% gain within 4 hours. The strategy could be refined with Fibonacci levels as profit targets and RSI as a momentum filter to avoid false breakouts.