World Liberty Financial/Tether (WLFIUSDT) Market Overview

• WLFIUSDT fell 18.8% from 0.242 to 0.213 in 24 hours amid a large-volume selloff.
• Price broke below key support at 0.236 and 0.228, with a 0.218 pivot now in play.
• RSI is oversold (<30), but volume and price are aligned with bearish momentum. • Volatility expanded post-0.250 peak, with Bollinger Bands wide and price near the lower band. • A potential short-term bottom may form near 0.210–0.209, but long-term risk remains high.

World Liberty Financial/Tether (WLFIUSDT) opened at 0.242 on 2025-09-21 at 12:00 ET, rose to a high of 0.2565, then fell to a low of 0.2075 before closing at 0.2130 as of 2025-09-22 at 12:00 ET. Total 24-hour volume was approximately 622,796,254.98, with total turnover of 132,188,850.60 USD.
On the 15-minute chart, WLFIUSDT formed a bearish continuation pattern as prices broke key support levels at 0.246 and 0.236. The breakdown was confirmed by strong volume and a series of lower closes. A long upper shadow at 0.2565 and a bearish engulfing pattern at 0.253–0.251 suggest distribution from the peak. A potential base is forming near 0.210–0.209, though a break below this could signal further weakness.

Structure & Formations

The most significant support levels for WLFIUSDT appear at 0.236, 0.228, and now 0.218. Resistance is found at 0.246 and the 24-hour high of 0.2565. A bearish engulfing pattern on the 15-minute chart at 0.253–0.251 confirmed the bearish bias, while a series of lower lows and higher lows have formed a descending channel. A potential reversal pattern is emerging near 0.210–0.209, but it has yet to be confirmed.

Moving Averages

On the 15-minute chart, the price closed below both the 20-period (0.245) and 50-period (0.248) moving averages, reinforcing the bearish trend. The 20-period MA crossed below the 50-period MA, forming a death cross. On the daily chart, the 50-period MA (0.244) is above the 100-period (0.239), but the 200-period MA (0.240) is near the key 0.238 support level. A further decline could see a triple bearish alignment.

MACD & RSI

MACD remained negative throughout the session, with the histogram expanding lower after the breakdown of 0.246. This indicates growing bearish momentum. RSI fell below 30 into oversold territory, but divergence was not observed—price and momentum are aligned in the bearish direction. A potential bounce from the RSI oversold zone is possible but not guaranteed without a reversal pattern.

Bollinger Bands

Bollinger Bands expanded significantly following the breakout from the 0.2565 peak. Price is currently near the lower band at 0.210, with the mid-band at 0.232. The large band width suggests high volatility, while the lower band could offer a short-term floor. A break below 0.210 would likely extend volatility and open the path to 0.205.

Volume & Turnover

Volume spiked at the breakdown of key support levels, particularly around 0.246 and 0.236. The largest single-candle turnover was recorded at 47.4 million USD on the 0.2518 close, indicating significant selling pressure. Notional turnover has declined as the price dropped below 0.228, but volume remains above average, signaling continued bearish conviction.

Fibonacci Retracements

Applying Fibonacci to the recent swing from 0.2075 (low) to 0.2565 (high), key retracement levels include 0.240 (23.6%), 0.232 (38.2%), and 0.224 (50%). Price has broken below the 0.224 level, suggesting a possible target at 0.216 (61.8%). If WLFIUSDT finds support at 0.210–0.209, it could trigger a 38.2% retracement back to 0.229.

Backtest Hypothesis

A potential backtest strategy could target short entries on WLFIUSDT using a combination of RSI oversold levels and Bollinger Band reversion. Given the current positioning near the lower band and RSI below 30, a mean reversion trade could be triggered on a bounce above 0.215. A stop-loss below 0.209 would protect against further bearish extension. If successful, this trade could aim for a 5–7% move back toward 0.225–0.229. The strategy would require a trailing stop as the price stabilizes.