World Liberty Financial/Tether Market Overview

• WLFIUSDT closed near the session high, showing potential bullish momentum after an early dip.
• Volatility spiked during the 16:00–19:00 ET window, with price rebounding off a key support level around 0.1950.
• RSI and MACD show strengthening bullish momentum but not yet overbought territory.
• Bollinger Bands indicate moderate volatility expansion after a period of contraction.
• Notable 15-minute bullish engulfing patterns emerged during the recovery phase, suggesting short-term buying pressure.

World Liberty Financial/Tether (WLFIUSDT) opened at 0.2074 on 2025-09-09 at 12:00 ET and closed at 0.2044 at 12:00 ET on 2025-09-10, with a high of 0.2125 and a low of 0.1912. Total volume reached 898,865,790.70, and total turnover was approximately $179,323,193 (calculated using average price of 0.2000).

Structure & Formations

The 24-hour candlestick chart for WLFIUSDT showed a strong bullish reversal pattern, especially during the 19:30–20:30 ET and 21:15–21:30 ET windows, where bullish engulfing patterns emerged. A key support level appears to be forming around 0.1950–0.1970, which held during a sharp sell-off in the early part of the session. A doji appeared near 0.1970 at 17:45 ET, indicating indecision that preceded a rebound. Price has since tested and retested these levels, consolidating above the key support.

Moving Averages

On the 15-minute chart, the 20-period and 50-period moving averages (SMA) crossed in a bullish direction near 0.2000–0.2010, suggesting a potential uptrend in the short term. On a daily basis, the 50-period SMA sits above the 100- and 200-period SMAs, indicating a positive medium-term bias. Price is currently above all three moving averages, reinforcing the bullish setup.

MACD & RSI

MACD for the 15-minute chart showed a bullish crossover and a rising histogram, suggesting growing momentum. RSI has risen from oversold territory near 30 to the mid-50s, showing strength but not reaching overbought levels. This suggests the rally could continue unless RSI pushes above 70, which would indicate a potential pullback is due. The combination of rising price and RSI suggests the trend may have legs, but a sharp spike above 65–70 could trigger profit-taking.

Bollinger Bands

Bollinger Bands expanded significantly during the 16:30–19:30 ET window, indicating increased volatility. Price has since remained in the upper half of the bands, suggesting bullish bias. The recent expansion followed a period of contraction, indicating a breakout scenario. If the current trend continues, the upper band may rise further, creating more room for upside movement.

Volume & Turnover

Volume surged during the 16:15–16:30 ET and 09:30–09:45 ET windows, correlating with significant price swings. The largest single 15-minute volume was recorded at 09:30 ET, with 37 million contracts traded, as price surged from 0.2005 to 0.2121. Notional turnover spiked accordingly, confirming the price action. No major divergence between price and volume was observed, indicating strong conviction in the current trend.

Fibonacci Retracements

Fibonacci retracement levels drawn from the recent swing low at 0.1912 and high at 0.2121 show the price is currently approaching the 61.8% level (approx. 0.2034). This level has been tested several times and appears to offer strong support. A break above 0.2060 (38.2% level) would suggest continuation of the bullish trend, while a failure to hold above 0.2000 could trigger a test of the 50% level (approx. 0.1990).

Backtest Hypothesis

A potential backtest strategy involves entering long positions when the 20-period SMA crosses above the 50-period SMA (golden cross) on the 15-minute chart, with a stop-loss placed below the most recent support level. Given the recent golden cross observed in the 19:30–20:30 ET period and confirmation by bullish engulfing patterns, this setup could be tested for short-term trades. A trailing stop could be used after a 5% move in the direction of the trend to protect gains. This approach aligns with the observed technical conditions and may offer a favorable risk-reward ratio in a low-liquidity environment like WLFIUSDT.