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• Price declined from 0.0001264 to 0.0001202 over 24 hours, showing bearish continuation.
• Low volume in early session with a sharp spike after 03:00 ET, supporting the downward trend.
• RSI and MACD both suggest oversold conditions, pointing to potential near-term stabilization.
• Bollinger Bands show moderate volatility with price near the lower band.
• Fibonacci retracement levels indicate 0.0001196 as key support to watch.
WINkLink/TRON (WINTRX) opened at 0.0001264 on 2025-11-02 at 12:00 ET and closed at 0.0001202 at 12:00 ET the next day, recording a low of 0.0001187 and a high of 0.0001264. Total trading volume over 24 hours reached 876,524,643.90 units, with notional turnover of $105.91 million (based on average price of 0.0001207). The price action appears to be consolidating near key Fibonacci support levels, with bearish momentum showing signs of exhaustion.
The structure of the 15-minute candlestick data reveals a consistent downward drift beginning around 19:30 ET, with a sharp bearish reversal confirmed by a significant volume spike. A bearish engulfing pattern formed around 03:00 ET as price dropped from 0.0001231 to 0.0001224 with high volume. A series of doji in the morning of 2025-11-03 (amounts 38–40) indicate a tug-of-war between buyers and sellers. Notable support levels appear to be forming at 0.0001196 (61.8% retracement of the main 24-hour move) and 0.0001187 (low of the session).
MACD shows a bearish crossover with the signal line crossing below the zero line, and the histogram is declining in magnitude, indicating waning momentum. RSI has dipped into oversold territory at 30, suggesting a potential bounce or consolidation phase. Bollinger Bands are moderately wide, and the price has tested the lower band multiple times, especially in the early morning. Volatility has expanded after the initial flat session, with price now trading closer to the 20-period moving average than the 50-period line.
Volume and turnover patterns show a clear divergence from the price trend in the early hours of the session, as volume remained flat while price drifted lower. However, after 03:00 ET, both volume and turnover spiked sharply in sync with the price drop. The large volume spike at 03:00 ET appears to confirm the breakdown rather than contradicting it, suggesting strong institutional or algorithmic selling. A key divergence to watch is between price and volume in the 05:00–07:00 ET period, where volume dipped slightly while price continued to fall.
Backtest Hypothesis
The RSI-oversold backtest strategy described appears relevant to the current WINTRX action, given the RSI's recent reading in oversold territory. A potential entry could be considered near the 61.8% Fibonacci level at 0.0001196, with a stop-loss just below the session low of 0.0001187. A target could be set near the 0.0001206–0.0001208 range, where price briefly bounced. This setup mirrors the structure seen in the HOLD.P ETF’s historical patterns under similar conditions, though WINTRX’s higher volatility might require tighter risk management.
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