Williams-Sonoma Stock Outperforms Market Despite 481st Trading Volume Rank and Earnings Volatility

Generated by AI AgentAinvest Market Brief
Friday, Aug 1, 2025 6:20 pm ET1min read
WSM--
Aime RobotAime Summary

- Williams-Sonoma (WSM) rose 0.33% on August 1, trading at 481st volume rank, with Q2 earnings expected on August 28, projected to show a 2.3% YoY increase.

- The stock has exceeded profit estimates for four consecutive quarters, gaining 25.4% over the past year, outperforming the S&P 500 and sector, with 18 analysts rating it as 'Moderate Buy' or higher.

- Challenges include 2.1% annual store closures and 4.7% same-store sales declines, alongside a 5.3-point drop in free cash flow margins, raising concerns about expansion costs.

- A backtested strategy of buying top 500 high-volume stocks daily yielded 166.71% returns since 2022, outperforming benchmarks by 137.53%.

Williams-Sonoma (WSM) rose 0.33% on August 1, with a trading volume of $260 million, ranking 481st in the market. The company is set to report Q2 earnings on August 28, with analysts forecasting $1.78 per share, a 2.3% increase from the prior-year quarter. Despite a 4.5% post-Q1 earnings drop in May, WSM has exceeded profit estimates in four consecutive quarters. Over the past year, the stock gained 25.4%, outperforming the S&P 500 and Consumer Discretionary sector. Current analyst ratings lean moderately bullish, with 18 analysts assigning a “Moderate Buy” or higher, though 12 recommend a “Hold.” The stock trades above its $184.29 average price target.

Recent performance highlights include a 4.2% year-over-year revenue increase in Q1, driven by improved comparable store sales, and an adjusted EPS of $1.85, beating estimates by 5.1%. However, challenges persist, such as store closures averaging 2.1% annual declines over two years and a 4.7% annual drop in same-store sales. Free cash flow margins also fell by 5.3 percentage points in the last year, raising concerns about cash profitability if expansion efforts resume.

Backtest results indicate that a strategy of purchasing the top 500 stocks by daily trading volume and holding them for one day generated a 166.71% return from 2022 to present, outperforming the benchmark by 137.53%. This underscores the strategy’s effectiveness in capturing liquidity-driven opportunities in the current market environment.

Market Watch column provides a thorough analysis of stock market fluctuations and expert ratings.

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