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Will Nvidia Deliver A 'Blowout Beat' In Q3? Poll Says Maybe Not, But Over Half See Stock Clearing $150

Wesley ParkWednesday, Nov 20, 2024 11:48 am ET
4min read
Nvidia's (NVDA) stock price has been on a rollercoaster ride in recent months, driven by its dominance in the GPU market, particularly in data center and AI applications. As the company prepares to report its Q3 earnings, investors are wondering if Nvidia will deliver a 'blowout beat' and whether its stock will clear the $150 mark. A recent poll conducted by Investopedia suggests that while only 53% of respondents expect Nvidia to beat earnings estimates, over half (55%) believe the stock will reach $150 by the end of the quarter.



Nvidia's stock price has been influenced by several key factors in the past, including its strong financial performance and strategic acquisitions. The company's earnings reports have historically been well-received by investors, with positive surprises often leading to stock price increases. However, recent concerns about the impact of rising interest rates on tech stocks and geopolitical tensions affecting semiconductor supply chains have led some investors to question Nvidia's future prospects.



Analysts' earnings estimates for Nvidia have been on the rise leading up to the Q3 report. As of October 29, 2023, the consensus EPS estimate stands at $0.67, up from $0.65 a week ago and $0.63 a month ago. The revenue estimate has also increased, now at $33.28 billion, up from $32.93 billion a week ago and $32.49 billion a month ago.

Nvidia's AI segment has been a significant driver of its growth in recent quarters. The company reported record data center revenue of $14.51 billion in Q3, up 41% from Q2 and 279% from a year ago. Analysts expect Nvidia's AI segment to continue its strong growth in the coming quarters, with Morgan Stanley raising its price target for Nvidia stock to $160 from $150 and maintaining its "overweight" rating.



Despite the positive expectations, a poll conducted by Investopedia found that only 53% of respondents expect Nvidia to deliver a 'blowout beat' in Q3, with the majority anticipating a modest beat or in-line results. However, over half of the respondents believe Nvidia's stock will clear $150 by the end of the quarter, reflecting the company's strong fundamentals and growth prospects.

Nvidia's strong performance in data center and AI markets, as well as its dominant position in GPUs, suggests that the company is well-positioned to deliver another blowout quarter. However, investors should closely monitor the company's guidance and forward-looking statements to assess the potential impact on the stock price.

In conclusion, while the poll results suggest that Nvidia may not deliver a 'blowout beat' in Q3, the majority of investors remain optimistic about the company's long-term prospects. Nvidia's dominance in AI hardware, strong data center sales, and the upcoming launch of its Blackwell AI chip are all catalysts for the stock price. As long as the company continues to execute on its strategic initiatives and deliver strong financial performance, investors can expect Nvidia to remain a compelling investment opportunity.
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