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Summary
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Whirlpool's freefall reflects a perfect storm of earnings underperformance, margin compression from global tariffs, and a deteriorating homebuilding sector. With the stock trading near its 52-week low of $73.72, the market is pricing in severe margin deterioration and structural challenges in its core appliance business. This move has triggered massive put buying in the options market, with over 250,000 contracts traded on the day.
Earnings Shock and Margin Compression Fuel Collapse
The 9.04% intraday drop stems from Whirlpool's Q2 earnings report showing a -12.99% surprise, with $1.34/share vs. $1.54 consensus. The dividend cut and profit guidance reduction signaled deteriorating fundamentals, exacerbated by $3.77B in revenues (up 0.06% from estimates) that failed to offset margin compression from $24B in tariff-driven costs. Analysts at Zacks note the stock's Zacks Rank 3 (Hold) reflects mixed earnings estimate revisions, but the immediate drop suggests the market is pricing in deeper structural challenges in the household appliances sector.
Homebuilding Sector Sinks as Tariffs and Labor Shortages Bite
The Homebuilding and Household Durables sector is in freefall, with single-family homebuilding hitting an 11-month low of 883K units in June. High mortgage rates (6.92%), labor shortages, and Trump-era tariffs have created a perfect storm, with residential investment expected to remain a drag on Q2 GDP. Whirlpool's 9.04% drop mirrors broader sector weakness, though its margin vulnerability from global supply chains makes it more exposed than peers like GE (up 0.94%) which has diversified industrial operations.
Bearish Put Spikes and Oversold RSI Signal Volatility Play
• 200-day MA: 100.01 (below) | RSI: 33.06 (oversold) | MACD: 0.92 (bearish)
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With RSI at oversold levels and price near Bollinger lower band, this is a high-volatility setup. The options chain reveals two key plays:
1. WHR20250815P85 (Put) • Strike: $85 • Expiry: 8/15 • IV: 37.60% • LVR: 48.65% • Delta: -0.349 • Theta: -0.112 • Gamma: 0.050 • Turnover: 49,213
- High leverage ratio (48.65%) with moderate delta (-0.349) suggests strong downside potential
- Projected 5% downside to $84.61 would yield $0.39 payoff (K - ST = 0.39)
- Gamma (0.050) indicates position gains sensitivity to price drops
2. WHR20250815P87.5 (Put) • Strike: $87.5 • Expiry: 8/15 • IV: 31.49% • LVR: 35.74% • Delta: -0.486 • Theta: -0.119 • Gamma: 0.065 • Turnover: 66,922
- Strong delta (-0.486) with high gamma (0.065) for accelerated gains on price declines
- 5% downside would yield $2.89 payoff (K - ST = 2.89)
- Liquidity (66K turnover) ensures smooth entry/exit
Aggressive bears should prioritize WHR20250815P87.5 for its high gamma-gain profile, while WHR20250815P85 offers lower-risk exposure. Watch for break below $85 support (200D MA at 76.86) to validate bearish thesis.
Backtest Whirlpool Stock Performance
The backtest of WHR's performance after an intraday plunge of -9% shows favorable short-to-medium-term gains. The 3-Day win rate is 51.70%, the 10-Day win rate is 48.64%, and the 30-Day win rate is 50.68%, indicating a higher probability of positive returns in the immediate aftermath of such a significant downturn. The maximum return during the backtest period was 0.27% on day 16, suggesting that while the gains may not be substantial, they can still lead to modest positive outcomes.
Critical Support Levels and Sector Weakness Demand Immediate Attention
Whirlpool's 9.04% drop reflects a breakdown in both earnings fundamentals and sector dynamics. With RSI at oversold levels and Bollinger Bands signaling potential reversal, the stock is at a critical juncture. Immediate support at $85 (200D MA) and $87.5 (gamma-sensitive put strike) will determine whether this is a buying opportunity or a deeper decline. Investors should monitor GE's 0.94% outperformance as a sector strength barometer. For active traders, the WHR20250815P87.5 put offers the most compelling risk/reward profile in this high-volatility environment.

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