Weyerhaeuser's Q4 2024: Unpacking Contradictions in Lumber Demand, Operating Rates, and Tariff Implications
Friday, Jan 31, 2025 1:11 pm ET
These are the key contradictions discussed in Weyerhaeuser's latest 2024Q4 earnings call, specifically including: Lumber Market Dynamics and Demand Outlook, Operating Rates in Engineered Wood Products, Demand Outlook for Housing and R&R, and Tariff Implications:
Challenging Market Conditions and Profitability:
- Weyerhaeuser reported full year GAAP earnings of $396 million, or $0.54 per diluted share, with adjusted EBITDA of $1.3 billion.
- The company faced a challenging market backdrop, particularly in lumber, but maintained profitability through solid execution and strategic initiatives.
Investment in EWP and Growth:
- Weyerhaeuser plans to invest approximately $500 million to build a state-of-the-art TimberStrand facility in Arkansas.
- This investment aims to capitalize on the growing market for engineered wood products and will add 10 million cubic feet of production, doubling Weyerhaeuser's TimberStrand offering.
Increased Demand in Timberlands:
- In the West, pricing for grade logs increased significantly in December, driven by healthy domestic demand and reduced log supply.
- This led to comparable domestic sales realizations and increased sales volumes compared to the third quarter, despite a mix effect.
Natural Climate Solutions Expansion:
- The company's Natural Climate Solutions business achieved $84 million in adjusted EBITDA in 2024, a 79% increase year-over-year.
- The growth was driven by strong contributions from conservation, mitigation banking, and renewables projects, with significant premium pricing for Forest Carbon credits.
Strategic Harvest Plans and Market Outlook:
- Weyerhaeuser expects total company fee harvest volumes of approximately 35.5 million tons in 2025, slightly higher than 2024.
- The company anticipates higher sales volumes and realizations in the West due to increased domestic log demand and improved sales in Japan, partially offset by reduced sales to China.

Challenging Market Conditions and Profitability:
- Weyerhaeuser reported full year GAAP earnings of $396 million, or $0.54 per diluted share, with adjusted EBITDA of $1.3 billion.
- The company faced a challenging market backdrop, particularly in lumber, but maintained profitability through solid execution and strategic initiatives.
Investment in EWP and Growth:
- Weyerhaeuser plans to invest approximately $500 million to build a state-of-the-art TimberStrand facility in Arkansas.
- This investment aims to capitalize on the growing market for engineered wood products and will add 10 million cubic feet of production, doubling Weyerhaeuser's TimberStrand offering.
Increased Demand in Timberlands:
- In the West, pricing for grade logs increased significantly in December, driven by healthy domestic demand and reduced log supply.
- This led to comparable domestic sales realizations and increased sales volumes compared to the third quarter, despite a mix effect.
Natural Climate Solutions Expansion:
- The company's Natural Climate Solutions business achieved $84 million in adjusted EBITDA in 2024, a 79% increase year-over-year.
- The growth was driven by strong contributions from conservation, mitigation banking, and renewables projects, with significant premium pricing for Forest Carbon credits.
Strategic Harvest Plans and Market Outlook:
- Weyerhaeuser expects total company fee harvest volumes of approximately 35.5 million tons in 2025, slightly higher than 2024.
- The company anticipates higher sales volumes and realizations in the West due to increased domestic log demand and improved sales in Japan, partially offset by reduced sales to China.

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