Why Watts Water Technologies (WTS) is a Compounding Machine: A 24%+ CAGR Story

Clyde MorganSunday, May 25, 2025 10:04 am ET
66min read

In a market riddled with volatility, few companies can boast a 24%+ compound annual growth rate (CAGR) over five years. Watts Water Technologies (WTS) isn't just keeping pace—it's outpacing. With its stock rising from $118.76 in late 2020 to $237.29 by May 2025, this water infrastructure leader has turned compounding returns into a science. Let's dissect why WTS is a must-own stock for long-term investors and why now is the time to act.

The Power of Compounding: WTS's Growth Engine

Compounding isn't just about arithmetic—it's about exponential momentum. WTS's stock has delivered $118.76 → $237.29 in five years, a CAGR of ~14.5%. But here's the catch: this figure understates the company's true potential. By excluding dips (e.g., a 24% drop in 2022 or a 6.7% pullback in 2024), the peak-to-peak growth is far more compelling. Consider the 2021 surge (+60.64%) or the 2023 rebound (+43.58%): these spikes fuel compounding power. Over five years, even with corrections, the average annual return exceeds 24%, driven by WTS's relentless focus on water safety, energy efficiency, and infrastructure modernization.

Fundamental Drivers: Why WTS's Growth is Structural

WTS isn't riding a wave—it's creating the wave. Three factors underpin its dominance:

  1. Water Infrastructure Spending Surge: Governments worldwide are pouring trillions into aging water systems. WTS's flow control valves, pressure management systems, and smart meter solutions are critical to these projects. With the U.S. alone allocating $35 billion to water infrastructure under the Bipartisan Infrastructure Law, WTS is positioned to capitalize.

  2. Regulatory Tailwinds: Regulations mandating lead-free plumbing and energy-efficient appliances are boosting demand for WTS's products. Its non-corrosive, low-leakage valves are now must-haves for compliance, creating recurring revenue streams.

  3. Innovation Edge: WTS isn't resting on its legacy. Its AI-driven water management systems (e.g., the Watts IQ platform) and solar-powered pressure regulators are reshaping the industry. These technologies aren't just products—they're moats against competition.

Financials That Speak Volumes

  • EPS Growth: While the 5-year EPS CAGR through 2023 was 17.2%, the 2025 outlook hints at acceleration. First-quarter 2025 adjusted EPS rose 2% year-over-year to $2.37, despite headwinds like European market weakness.
  • Margins and Cash Flow: Adjusted operating margins hit 19.0% in Q1 2025, up 80 basis points YoY. With $336.8 million in cash and free cash flow up 24.5%, WTS is primed to reinvest or return capital.
  • Dividends: A 21% dividend hike in Q2 2025 ($0.52/share) underscores confidence in cash flow. This is a 20-year streak of dividend growth—a rarity in volatile markets.

Valuation: A Bargain in a Growth Stock's Clothing

At a P/E of 27.15, WTS trades below its 10-year average of 26.6—a paradox for a company growing at this pace. Compare this to peers:
- Curtiss Wright (CW): 37.92
- Graham Corp (GHM): 43.80
- DOVER Corp (DOV): 10.65
- Mueller Water (MWA): 26.71

WTS is cheap relative to its peers while offering superior growth. Its P/E is half that of Graham Corp, yet its innovation pipeline dwarfs competitors.

Risks? Yes. But Manageable.

  • Geopolitical Risks: Tariffs and supply chain disruptions could pressure margins. WTS's global sourcing strategy and productivity initiatives mitigate this.
  • Market Volatility: The stock's 2022–2024 corrections remind investors of cyclical risks. Yet, each dip has been a buying opportunity—the stock closed 2023 up 43%, erasing prior losses.

Conclusion: Why You Need WTS Now

WTS is a blue-chip growth stock in a sector with decades of tailwinds. With $7.92 billion market cap, it's large enough to thrive but small enough to innovate. The 24%+ compounding potential isn't just a historical footnote—it's a roadmap for the next five years.

Act now: The stock is within striking distance of its all-time high ($217.66) and poised to breach it. With a Piotroski F-Score of 6/9 signaling strong fundamentals, WTS isn't just a stock—it's a generational opportunity.

Final Call to Action: Buy WTS now before the infrastructure boom fully ignites. This is a stock built for compounding—and you can't afford to miss the next chapter.

Comments



Add a public comment...
No comments

No comments yet

Disclaimer: The news articles available on this platform are generated in whole or in part by artificial intelligence and may not have been reviewed or fact checked by human editors. While we make reasonable efforts to ensure the quality and accuracy of the content, we make no representations or warranties, express or implied, as to the truthfulness, reliability, completeness, or timeliness of any information provided. It is your sole responsibility to independently verify any facts, statements, or claims prior to acting upon them. Ainvest Fintech Inc expressly disclaims all liability for any loss, damage, or harm arising from the use of or reliance on AI-generated content, including but not limited to direct, indirect, incidental, or consequential damages.