Goldman Sachs warns of a near-term correction in the stock market, citing two warning signs: high risk-appetite and retail investors' aggressive buying. The firm's co-CIO of multi-asset solutions expects a correction as an opportunity to add to portfolios. Other Wall Street firms, including Stifel, Evercore ISI, and HSBC, have also warned of a coming correction.
Goldman Sachs has sounded a cautionary note about the stock market, predicting a near-term correction. The investment firm's co-CIO of multi-asset solutions, Alexandra Wilson-Elizondo, indicated that the market is flashing two warning signs that could signal a correction.
The first warning sign is high risk-appetite among investors. According to a survey by Bank of America, global fund managers' sentiment has reached record highs, with 59% believing a global recession is unlikely. This optimism, combined with a significant increase in retail investor activity, has created a frothy market environment [1].
Wilson-Elizondo also highlighted the aggressive buying by retail investors, who have purchased around $50 billion worth of stocks over the last month. This surge in retail buying is a significant factor contributing to the current market conditions [1].
Despite these warnings, Wilson-Elizondo remains bullish on the long-term outlook for stocks. She cited several factors that could support stock prices, including expected interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve and the potential impact of Trump's tax bill [1].
Other Wall Street firms have also expressed concerns about a coming correction. Stifel, Evercore ISI, and HSBC have all warned of a potential pullback in the market [1]. The recent rally to record highs has led to increased investor exuberance, which could be vulnerable to changes in the labor market and economic conditions [1].
As the stock market continues to face these challenges, investors should remain vigilant and prepare for potential volatility. Goldman Sachs' warning serves as a reminder of the importance of diversifying portfolios and maintaining a balanced investment strategy.
References:
[1] https://www.businessinsider.com/stock-market-outlook-sp500-correction-forecast-goldman-sachs-2025-7
[2] https://www.investopedia.com/5-things-to-know-before-the-stock-market-opens-july-22-2025-11776505
[3] https://qz.com/bank-earnings-stock-goldman-sachs-bank-america-jpmorgan-1851776233
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