Walmart and Costco: Boring but Lucrative in Uncertain Times
Thursday, Dec 5, 2024 10:36 am ET
Walmart and Costco have proven to be reliable investments in recent months, outperforming the market despite economic uncertainty. As consumers face inflation and volatile spending habits, these two retail giants have remained resilient, thanks to their unique business models and pricing strategies.
Walmart, the world's largest retailer, has built its reputation on offering low prices to its customers. The company's Every Day Low Price (EDLP) strategy, combined with its ability to work with suppliers to manage inflation, has attracted price-sensitive shoppers even as inflation persists. Walmart's stock price has rallied, with the company reporting strong sales and earnings growth. In the latest quarter, Walmart's earnings per share (EPS) grew 10% year-over-year, while revenue increased nearly 5%. The company's e-commerce sales also continued to grow, with a 23% increase in the quarter.

Costco, a membership-only warehouse club, has also seen its stock price soar. The company's unique business model, which relies on bulk purchasing and minimal markup, enables it to pass savings on to its members. With nearly 128 million club members worldwide, Costco has maintained strong customer loyalty and repeat business. In 2023, Costco generated global net sales of around $238 billion, with the U.S. being its most profitable regional segment.
COST Basic EPS (FY), Basic EPS (FY) YoY
Both Walmart and Costco have benefited from consumers' shifting spending habits during inflationary periods. As shoppers prioritize essential items like groceries and gasoline, these retailers' focus on low prices and value has driven customer loyalty and retention. Additionally, their expansion into new markets and product categories has contributed to their resilience during economic uncertainty.
As an investor who values stability and predictability, the author believes that Walmart and Costco deserve higher valuations. These "boring but lucrative" stocks offer steady performance without surprises, making them attractive investments in a volatile market. By combining growth and value stocks, investors can build a balanced portfolio that weather economic storms and maintain consistent growth.
In conclusion, Walmart and Costco have demonstrated remarkable resilience during periods of inflation and economic uncertainty. Their unique business models, pricing strategies, and expansion into new markets have contributed to their success. As investors seek stable and predictable investments, these retail giants have proven to be reliable choices in uncertain times.