Vistra Corp Q2 Results Boost Shares, Despite Minor EBITDA Decrease
ByAinvest
Friday, Aug 8, 2025 8:48 am ET1min read
VST--
Despite a minor decrease in adjusted EBITDA, Vistra reported a robust financial performance for the quarter, with an adjusted EBITDA of $1,349 million. This was slightly below the $1,412 million recorded in the same period last year [2]. The company's year-to-date adjusted EBITDA of $2,548 million represents a significant improvement over the $2,178 million reported for the first half of 2024.
Vistra's strategic growth plan includes the acquisition of approximately 2,600 MW of natural gas generation assets from Lotus Infrastructure Partners for $1.9 billion. This acquisition aligns with the company's strategic priorities and is expected to deliver accretion to Adjusted Free Cash Flow before Growth in its first year [2].
The company reaffirmed its 2025 guidance, projecting adjusted EBITDA between $5,500 million and $6,100 million, and adjusted free cash flow before growth between $3,000 million and $3,600 million. Looking further ahead, Vistra increased its 2026 adjusted EBITDA midpoint opportunity to over $6,800 million, citing confidence from the PJM Auction clear and its comprehensive hedging program [2].
Analysts set an average target price of $188.36, implying an 8.01% downside from the current price. Despite trading down in premarket, Vistra has reaffirmed its full-year guidance and increased its 2026 earnings outlook, signaling confidence in its long-term growth strategy.
References:
[1] https://www.gurufocus.com/news/3048509/vistra-corp-vst-q2-2025-earnings-call-highlights-strong-financial-performance-and-strategic-investments
[2] https://www.investing.com/news/company-news/vistra-energy-q2-2025-slides-135b-ebitda-announces-19b-gas-asset-acquisition-93CH-4176323
Vistra Corp (VST) shares rose 2% after announcing strong Q2 results. Despite a minor decrease in adjusted EBITDA, the company maintained its 2025 guidance and increased its 2026 forecast. Analysts set an average target price of $188.36, implying an 8.01% downside from the current price. Vistra's stock holds an "Outperform" status with 17 brokerage recommendations and a projected GF Value of $63.74, indicating a significant downside of 68.87% from the current stock price.
Vistra Corp (VST) shares rose 2% after announcing its Q2 2025 results, which showed a slight year-over-year decline in adjusted EBITDA but maintained its 2025 guidance and increased its 2026 forecast. The company's stock holds an "Outperform" status with 17 brokerage recommendations and a projected GF Value of $63.74, indicating a significant downside of 68.87% from the current stock price [1].Despite a minor decrease in adjusted EBITDA, Vistra reported a robust financial performance for the quarter, with an adjusted EBITDA of $1,349 million. This was slightly below the $1,412 million recorded in the same period last year [2]. The company's year-to-date adjusted EBITDA of $2,548 million represents a significant improvement over the $2,178 million reported for the first half of 2024.
Vistra's strategic growth plan includes the acquisition of approximately 2,600 MW of natural gas generation assets from Lotus Infrastructure Partners for $1.9 billion. This acquisition aligns with the company's strategic priorities and is expected to deliver accretion to Adjusted Free Cash Flow before Growth in its first year [2].
The company reaffirmed its 2025 guidance, projecting adjusted EBITDA between $5,500 million and $6,100 million, and adjusted free cash flow before growth between $3,000 million and $3,600 million. Looking further ahead, Vistra increased its 2026 adjusted EBITDA midpoint opportunity to over $6,800 million, citing confidence from the PJM Auction clear and its comprehensive hedging program [2].
Analysts set an average target price of $188.36, implying an 8.01% downside from the current price. Despite trading down in premarket, Vistra has reaffirmed its full-year guidance and increased its 2026 earnings outlook, signaling confidence in its long-term growth strategy.
References:
[1] https://www.gurufocus.com/news/3048509/vistra-corp-vst-q2-2025-earnings-call-highlights-strong-financial-performance-and-strategic-investments
[2] https://www.investing.com/news/company-news/vistra-energy-q2-2025-slides-135b-ebitda-announces-19b-gas-asset-acquisition-93CH-4176323
Stay ahead of the market.
Get curated U.S. market news, insights and key dates delivered to your inbox.
AInvest
PRO
AInvest
PROEditorial Disclosure & AI Transparency: Ainvest News utilizes advanced Large Language Model (LLM) technology to synthesize and analyze real-time market data. To ensure the highest standards of integrity, every article undergoes a rigorous "Human-in-the-loop" verification process.
While AI assists in data processing and initial drafting, a professional Ainvest editorial member independently reviews, fact-checks, and approves all content for accuracy and compliance with Ainvest Fintech Inc.’s editorial standards. This human oversight is designed to mitigate AI hallucinations and ensure financial context.
Investment Warning: This content is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute professional investment, legal, or financial advice. Markets involve inherent risks. Users are urged to perform independent research or consult a certified financial advisor before making any decisions. Ainvest Fintech Inc. disclaims all liability for actions taken based on this information. Found an error?Report an Issue
Comments
No comments yet