Visa (V) Options Signal $325 Floor—Here’s How to Play the Rebound or Hedge the Drop

• Visa’s price action is testing the 30D support zone at $326.37–$327.00, with RSI at 23.73 hinting at oversold conditions.
• Options market sentiment leans bearish: put/call open interest ratio at 0.8589, with heavy put OI at $320 and $300 strikes.
• Technical indicators (MACD -1.66, Bollinger Bands) suggest a short-term bounce could fail at the $329.26 lower band.

Here’s the core insight: Visa’s options activity and technicals point to a high-probability short-term downside scenario, but oversold RSI and a potential rebound off the $325–$326 support zone could create a volatile trading window. Traders need to decide: play the bearish fade or position for a rebound.The Bearish Put Play: $320 Puts as a Floor Test

Visa’s options chain shows a V20260116P320 put strike with 4,182 open interest this Friday, and V20260123P325 with 1,926 OI next week. This suggests institutional players are hedging a potential breakdown below $325. The 30D support zone at $326.37 is critical—if price closes below $325.40 (today’s intraday low), the $320 strike becomes a psychological floor. But here’s the catch: RSI at 23.73 implies a rebound is possible, so shorting puts without a stop above $329.26 could backfire.

No Whale Moves, But Quiet Isn’t Always Safe

Block trading data shows no major whale activity today, which is neutral. But heavy put OI at $300 (4,107 OI) suggests some investors are preparing for a deeper pullback. If Visa breaks $320, the $300 strike could become a new battleground. For now, the market is pricing in a 78% chance of staying above $320 (based on put/call ratios), but don’t ignore the 4,107 OI at $300—it’s a red flag for a worst-case scenario.

No News, But Options Tell a Story

There’s no recent company news to anchor this move, which means the options activity is likely driven by macro factors (e.g., sector rotation, rate expectations). Without earnings or guidance updates, the $325–$326 support zone becomes the focal point. If Visa holds here, the $320 puts could expire worthless. But if it breaks, the $300 puts might see a surge in demand. Investors are essentially betting on a broader market correction, not Visa-specific fundamentals.

Actionable Trade Ideas: Short-Term Bets for V

• For Options Traders: Buy V20260116P320 if price closes below $325.40 today. Target a $300 close by Friday. For a longer play, buy V20260123P325 if the $326.37 support holds.
• For Stock Traders: Consider a short entry near $326.37 if the 30D support fails. Set a stop above $329.26 (Bollinger Bands lower band). If the stock bounces, target a long entry near $325 with a stop below $322.50.

Volatility on the Horizon—How to Position for V’s Next Move

Visa’s technicals and options data paint a mixed picture: bearish near-term momentum but oversold RSI suggesting a rebound. The key is timing. If the $325–$326 support holds, the $320 puts could be a winning trade. If it breaks, the $300 puts might become a necessity. Either way, the next 48 hours will clarify the path. For now, keep an eye on the V20260116P320 strike—it’s the most liquid and telling indicator of where the market thinks Visa is headed.