• VERI surges to $1.88, up 26% intraday, breaching 52W low of $1.22
• Options volume spikes: 1,031 contracts traded in August $2 calls alone
• Technicals show short-term bullish momentum vs. long-term bearish trend
Veritone’s explosive rally dominates after-hours trading, fueled by a mix of technical signals and elevated options activity. The stock’s meteoric rise—shattering 52-week lows—contrasts sharply with its sector’s muted performance, where
(MSFT) barely ticks up 0.01%. Analysts note the move’s volatility despite no direct sector catalysts.
Options Volatility and Technical Breakouts Drive RallyThe surge stems from a confluence of technical momentum and elevated options trading. Veritone’s stock broke above its 30-day resistance ($1.48) and 200-day moving average ($2.62) intraday, triggering algorithmic buying. The options chain reveals aggressive call buying at the $2 strike—highlighted by a 400% price jump in August $2 calls—while put volume at the same strike signals bearish hedging. Technicals further support the move: the MACD histogram crossed into positive territory, and RSI at 57.9 avoids overbought territory, suggesting room for continuation.
Application Software Sector Flat Amid Mixed Tech SentimentThe broader Application Software sector stagnates as Veritone’s rally lacks peer support. Microsoft’s near-flat performance and sector news—including Oracle’s ERP migration struggles and OpenAI’s API expansions—fail to create sector-wide momentum. Veritone’s move appears idiosyncratic, driven by its own catalysts rather than sector trends.
Target August $2 Calls/Puts: Capturing Volatility WavesTechnical Indicators:• 30-Day MA: $1.46 (broken)
• 200-Day MA: $2.62 (bearish)
• RSI: 57.9 (Neutral)
• MACD: +0.026 vs Signal Line (-0.052)
Aggressive traders should focus on the $1.88-$2.78 resistance zone. Near-term upside targets the $2.50 strike, while a close below $1.50 invalidates the bullish setup. The top options contracts:
1.
VERI20250815C2 (Call): Strike $2, Exp 2025-08-15
- Delta: 0.54 (Neutral Bullish)
- Theta: -0.0055 (Moderate Time Decay)
- Gamma: 0.58 (High Sensitivity)
- Turnover: 20,438
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Why Buy?: High liquidity and delta positioning for a sustained rally. A 5% upside to $1.97 yields max payoff of $0.97 (vs $0.25 premium).
2.
VERI20250815P2 (Put): Strike $2, Exp 2025-08-15
- Delta: -0.44 (Neutral Bearish)
- Theta: -0.0034 (Low Time Decay)
- Gamma: 0.49 (Moderate Sensitivity)
- Turnover: 558
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Why Buy?: Hedging against a reversion to $1.50 levels. A drop to $1.35 yields $0.65 payoff (vs $0.16 premium).
Action Hook: "Bulls target $2.50 with VERI20250815C2; bears set $1.50 stop with the P2 put."
Backtest Veritone Stock PerformanceThe backtest of VERI's performance after a 26% intraday surge shows mixed results. While the 3-day win rate is relatively high at 49.66%, the 10-day and 30-day win rates are slightly lower at 46.77% and 46.60%, respectively. This suggests that VERI tends to perform well in the short term following a significant intraday surge, but the overall trend over longer periods is less certain.
Veritone’s Volatility Play: Monitor Key Resistance LevelsVeritone’s 26% surge underscores a volatile market dynamic, with options activity and technical breakouts driving the move. While the rally lacks sector catalysts, traders must watch the $2.50 resistance and $1.50 support levels. With Microsoft (MSFT) +0.01% showing sector complacency, VERI’s momentum hinges on sustained buying pressure. Aggressive investors should prioritize the August $2 calls/puts for asymmetric risk-reward.
Action Now: Fade the rally below $1.50 or chase breakouts past $2.50.
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