Verisk Analytics Outlook - Technicals Deter Investors, Fundamentals Offer Mixed Signals

Market Snapshot

Headline Takeaway: Verisk Analytics (VRSK.O) faces a weak technical outlook with bearish signals dominating recent trends, while fundamentals remain neutral. The stock has fallen 2.21% recently.

News Highlights

• MLB's Strategic Investment in Professional Softball League – Major League Baseball announced a partnership with the Athletes Unlimited Softball League, signaling growing interest in women's sports. While not directly related to VRSK, it shows positive momentum in professional sports, a sector where Verisk provides risk analytics.
• Verisk Named in UFC Antitrust Lawsuit – A new class-action lawsuit was filed against the UFC on behalf of non-UFC fighters. While this isn't directly related to Verisk, it highlights legal risks in professional sports, which could indirectly affect Verisk’s clients or data services.
• Med-X Launches Eco-Friendly Pest Control Offering – This new public offering may indicate rising interest in environmentally conscious products, a broader market trend that could impact Verisk’s insurance or risk analytics offerings.

Analyst Views & Fundamentals

The current analyst landscape for VRSK is mixed. A single analyst from Wolfe Research has recently issued a "Buy" rating, but their historical win rate is 0.0%, suggesting limited credibility. The simple average rating is 4.00, while the weighted rating is 0.00 due to poor historical performance. This shows a lack of consensus and highlights caution among analysts.

The current price trend is downward (-2.21%), which aligns with the weighted expectations of market participants. However, the low confidence in analyst ratings contrasts with the overall market sentiment.

Key fundamental factors include:

• Shareholders’ equity / Total liabilities: 6.95% – Internal diagnostic score: 2.26
• Equity multiplier: 15.38x – Internal diagnostic score: 2.1
• Equity ratio (total liabilities / equity): 14.38% – Internal diagnostic score: 1.0
• Operating cycle: 61.73 days – Internal diagnostic score: 2.26
• Total operating revenue (YoY growth): 7.38% – Internal diagnostic score: 3.4
• Cash-MV ratio: -1.26 – Internal diagnostic score: 2.26

The overall fundamental score is 3.08, indicating a moderate financial position, but it is not strong enough to counter the bearish technical signals.

Money-Flow Trends

Fund flows tell a mixed story. While large and extra-large investors are seeing positive inflows, retail (small) investors are also participating, with small and medium inflow ratios hovering around 0.49–0.50. The overall inflow ratio is 0.53, suggesting a slight positive bias among big-money players. However, with large and medium flows showing a negative trend, it indicates some caution among institutional investors. The fund flow score is 7.92, which is considered "good."

Key Technical Signals

The technical outlook for VRSK is clearly bearish, with no bullish indicators among the four most recent signals. Here’s a breakdown of the internal diagnostic scores (0-10) for each signal:

• Williams %R Overbought – Score: 2.26, suggests a neutral to weak signal with historically poor returns (avg. -0.37%) and a win rate of 46.27%.
• WR Oversold – Score: 3.4, slightly better than overbought but still weak with a 51.92% win rate and avg. 0.22% return.
• Bearish Engulfing – Score: 2.1, a clear bearish candlestick pattern with a poor win rate of 37.5% and 0.49% average return.
• Marubozu White – Score: 1.0, a strong bearish signal historically, with a win rate of just 33.33% and an average return of -0.8%.

Recent chart patterns include multiple Marubozu White and Bearish Engulfing candles between September 3–12, 2025, reinforcing a weak and deteriorating trend. The technical score is 2.19, which confirms a weak trend and suggests investors should avoid the stock.

Conclusion

Verisk Analytics is currently in a technically weak position with clear bearish signals dominating the chart. While fundamentals are not entirely negative, the low analyst confidence and poor historical ratings suggest limited upside. The market is showing mixed flow patterns, with institutional money slightly positive and retail flows also trending upward.

Actionable Takeaway: Given the 2.19 technical score and the overwhelming presence of bearish indicators, it might be prudent to avoid new positions in VRSK for now or consider waiting for a potential pullback with clearer signs of bottoming.