Vanguard S&P 500 ETF Seen Soaring 138% to Reach 15,000 by 2030, According to Fundstrat's Tom Lee

Tuesday, Jul 22, 2025 12:17 am ET1min read

The Vanguard S&P 500 ETF, the most widely held ETF on Robinhood, could see a 138% increase by 2030, according to Tom Lee at Fundstrat Global Advisors. Lee predicts the S&P 500 will reach 15,000 by 2030, driven by AI demand and the millennial generation's spending power. The ETF is heavily weighted towards the technology sector, which is expected to benefit from AI adoption. The prediction implies equivalent upside in the Vanguard S&P 500 ETF.

The Vanguard S&P 500 ETF (VOO), one of the most popular exchange-traded funds (ETFs) on the trading platform Robinhood, is poised for significant growth according to Tom Lee of Fundstrat Global Advisors. Lee predicts that the S&P 500 could reach 15,000 by 2030, translating to a 138% increase from its current level of 6,297 [1]. This prediction is driven by the growing demand for artificial intelligence (AI) and the economic influence of the millennial generation.

The Vanguard S&P 500 ETF provides exposure to 500 large U.S. companies, including value and growth stocks from all 11 market sectors. It is heavily weighted toward the technology sector, which is expected to benefit from the AI boom. The top 10 holdings of the ETF include Nvidia (7.3%), Microsoft (7%), and Apple (6.2%) [2].

Lee's prediction is based on several factors. The global labor shortage is expected to push companies to invest trillions of dollars in AI-driven automation. Additionally, the millennial generation is entering its peak earning years, which is likely to boost consumer spending and economic growth. Historically, the S&P 500 has climbed to new highs despite experiencing corrections and bear markets, making Lee's prediction seem plausible.

However, investors should approach this prediction with caution. No Wall Street analyst is infallible, and past performance is not indicative of future results. The S&P 500 currently trades at an expensive valuation of 22.2 times forward earnings, which has historically correlated with lower three-year returns of 3% annually [1].

Before investing in the Vanguard S&P 500 ETF, consider other investment options. While the ETF offers broad market exposure, it may not be the best choice for investors seeking high returns or those comfortable with more risk. The Motley Fool Stock Advisor, for instance, has identified 10 stocks that could produce monster returns in the coming years [1].

In conclusion, the Vanguard S&P 500 ETF offers a diversified investment strategy that could yield significant returns by 2030, according to Tom Lee's prediction. However, investors should conduct thorough research and consider their risk tolerance before making investment decisions.

References:
[1] https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/warren-buffett-says-buy-sp-500-index-fund-it-could-soar-139-according-top-wall-street
[2] https://finance.yahoo.com/news/no-1-vanguard-index-fund-075000305.html

Vanguard S&P 500 ETF Seen Soaring 138% to Reach 15,000 by 2030, According to Fundstrat's Tom Lee

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