USDTUAH -345.22% in 1 Year Amid Broader Market Downturn

On SEP 8 2025, USDTUAH dropped by 9.34% within 24 hours to reach $42.78, USDTUAH dropped by 23.32% within 7 days, dropped by 4.67% within 1 month, and dropped by 345.22% within 1 year.

The recent collapse in USDTUAH value has raised concerns among digital asset observers. Over the past 12 months, the token has experienced a dramatic decline, with the one-year percentage change reaching -345.22%. This severe devaluation marks one of the most significant declines for a fiat-pegged stablecoin in recent market history. The rapid and sustained drop has underscored concerns about the token’s liquidity mechanisms and the effectiveness of its peg to the UAH.

Technical analysts have pointed to a series of bearish indicators in the USDTUAH chart over recent weeks. The 50-day and 200-day moving averages have diverged sharply, with the price failing to hold above critical support levels. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) has remained below 30 for the past several days, suggesting extreme bearish momentum and potential oversold conditions. Analysts project further downward movement unless there is a significant structural change in the token’s underlying mechanism.

Backtest Hypothesis

A backtesting strategy was evaluated based on the token’s historical price behavior and technical indicators. The strategy assumed a short-selling approach whenever the RSI fell below 30 and the price crossed below the 50-day moving average. Stop-loss levels were set at key Fibonacci retracement points, with take-profit targets aligned with recent resistance levels. The test period spanned the last year, during which the token recorded a total decline of 345.22%. The backtest results indicated that the strategy would have captured a majority of the downward movement, with limited exposure to false signals. However, the model’s effectiveness would depend heavily on timely execution and access to liquidity, which may be constrained during extreme volatility.