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USANA Health Sciences: Navigating Headwinds with a Focus on Strategic Growth

Albert FoxTuesday, Apr 22, 2025 4:27 pm ET
16min read

The first quarter of fiscal 2025 brought a mixed but ultimately encouraging performance for USANA Health Sciences (NYSE: USNA). While GAAP metrics faced headwinds, the company’s non-GAAP results beat estimates, signaling resilience in its dual-growth strategy: stabilizing its core direct-selling business and accelerating expansion through its Hiya children’s health platform. Let’s dissect the numbers to assess whether this momentum can endure amid macroeconomic and geopolitical uncertainties.

The financial highlights paint a nuanced picture. Net sales rose 10% year-over-year to $250 million, driven by Hiya’s rapid adoption and 12% growth in constant currency. This outperformance, however, was offset by a 43% drop in net earnings to $9.4 million, as acquisition costs and currency headwinds pressured profitability. Meanwhile, the adjusted diluted EPS of $0.73—unchanged from Q1 2024—beat estimates by $0.03, reflecting management’s success in smoothing out one-time expenses.

At the operational level, USANA’s core direct-selling business faces a familiar challenge: declining active customers. The cohort fell to 459,000 from 494,000 a year earlier, a trend that has persisted despite sequential stabilization. This underscores the importance of Hiya’s meteoric rise, which now boasts 224,000 active monthly subscribers. The direct-to-consumer model here is proving more scalable, with Hiya’s full-year sales guidance projecting 29%–42% growth. This contrast highlights a strategic pivot: USANA is transitioning from a reliance on distributor networks to a more diversified revenue stream.

The company’s balance sheet remains a source of strength. With $180 million in cash versus $23 million in debt, USANA has ample liquidity to navigate disruptions. Management’s decision to repurchase $12 million in shares during Q1—leaving $49 million remaining—signals confidence in the stock’s valuation. However, the board must ensure that buybacks don’t come at the expense of R&D or market expansion, which are critical for sustaining Hiya’s momentum.

Looking ahead, USANA faces two critical risks. First, trade tensions between the U.S. and China could disrupt supply chains. The company’s dual manufacturing strategy—a hedge against tariff volatility—provides some insulation, but the full-year outlook still excludes potential tariff impacts on raw materials. Second, consumer sentiment in key markets like Asia and North America remains fragile, though USANA’s focus on essential wellness products may offer some immunity to spending cuts.

The outlook for fiscal 2025 reinforces management’s cautious optimism. Full-year revenue guidance of $920–$1.0 billion, inclusive of a $30 million currency headwind, aligns with the top-line growth trajectory. The adjusted EPS range of $2.35–$3.00 suggests that margin pressures from Hiya’s scaling and legacy costs will persist, but non-GAAP metrics continue to highlight operational progress.

Conclusion
USANA’s Q1 results reflect a company in transition. While its traditional direct-selling business grapples with customer attrition, the Hiya acquisition has emerged as a transformative growth lever. The $0.73 adjusted EPS beat and robust revenue growth demonstrate that management’s strategy is bearing fruit, even as GAAP metrics lag due to external pressures.

Investors should focus on two critical data points: Hiya’s ability to sustain its 30%-plus growth rate and USANA’s progress in diversifying its customer base beyond distributor-dependent markets. With $23 million in net cash, a 53-week fiscal year providing an extra sales quarter, and strategic moves like expanding Hiya’s product pipeline, the company is positioned to weather near-term headwinds.

However, the stock’s valuation—trading at ~15x the midpoint of 2025 EPS guidance—will require more convincing evidence that Hiya’s gains can offset legacy challenges. If USANA can stabilize active customers while delivering on its full-year outlook, it could reward investors with a compelling risk-reward profile in an otherwise volatile health-care sector. The next quarter’s results will be pivotal in determining whether this transition phase is nearing its inflection point.

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