UPS Slides 0.91% to $86.15 as $0.53 Billion Volume Ranks 151st Amid Earnings Revisions and Institutional Divergence

On August 21, 2025, United Parcel Service (UPS) declined 0.91% to $86.15, with a trading volume of $0.53 billion, ranking 151st in the market. The stock has underperformed the S&P 500, which gained 1.7% over the past month, while UPS fell 16% and its industry sector dropped 7%. Analysts highlight earnings estimate revisions as a key indicator, with UPS’s current quarter estimate at $1.35 per share, a 23.3% decline from the prior year. For the fiscal year, the consensus earnings estimate of $6.53 reflects a 15.4% drop, and the next fiscal year’s $7.41 projection indicates a 13.5% increase. However, the Zacks Rank assigns the stock a #4 (Sell) rating based on recent earnings revisions.

Revenue projections also show weakness, with the current quarter’s $20.86 billion estimate down 6.2% year-over-year. For fiscal 2025, the $87.49 billion sales forecast signals a 3.9% decline, while the next fiscal year’s $87.98 billion estimate suggests a modest 0.6% increase. Institutional ownership data reveals 60.26% of shares held by institutions, with major buyers including Vanguard Group and State Street Corp. Over the past 24 months, institutional investors purchased $14.22 billion in shares, while selling activity totaled $8.91 billion, indicating mixed confidence in the stock’s near-term direction.

The strategy of holding the top 500 most actively traded stocks for one day from 2022 to 2025 yielded a 1-day return of 1.98%, with a total return of 7.61% over 365 days. This approach had a Sharpe ratio of 0.94, reflecting reasonable risk-adjusted returns, but faced a maximum drawdown of -29.16%, highlighting its vulnerability during market downturns.