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The industrial real estate sector continues to defy economic headwinds, and
(NYSE: TRNO) has just delivered a masterclass in capital recycling. The company's recent sale of its Commerce, CA industrial property—a $97 million transaction yielding a 9.5% unleveraged internal rate of return (IRR) over 13 years—is a testament to its disciplined strategy of buying undervalued assets, optimizing performance, and selling at peak market timing. With occupancy at 99% at the time of sale, this deal underscores the sector's resilience and the compelling investment thesis for industrial real estate in high-growth coastal markets.
Terreno's Commerce, CA property, purchased in 2012 for $52.4 million, was part of a portfolio focused on strategic locations within its six core markets: New York City/Northern New Jersey, Los Angeles, Miami, the San Francisco Bay Area, Seattle, and Washington, D.C. The sale not only reflects a 162% increase in asset value over 13 years but also highlights the company's ability to execute on its core strategy:
- Acquire at discounts to replacement cost: The property was bought below the cost to build new industrial space, a margin that has only widened as construction costs soar.
- Leverage operational excellence: A 99% occupancy rate at exit demonstrates the power of tenant relationships and demand for high-quality logistics space.
- Recycle capital into higher-return opportunities: Proceeds from such sales are reinvested into development projects or acquisitions in similarly high-growth markets, compounding returns over time.
This transaction is no isolated success. In Q1 2025 alone, Terreno sold two other properties for $24.9 million, yielding 13.0% and 7.5% unleveraged IRRs, while completing a $41.3 million redevelopment project in Santa Ana, CA, fully leased at a 5.1% stabilized cap rate. These metrics signal a repeatable business model that thrives in industrial real estate's structural boom.
The Commerce sale is a microcosm of a sector fueled by irreversible macro trends:
1. E-commerce growth: U.S. online retail spending is projected to hit $1.2 trillion by 2025, driving demand for warehouses and distribution hubs.
2. Supply chain reconfiguration: Companies are prioritizing “just-in-case” inventory and regionalized logistics to mitigate risks, boosting demand for industrial space near population centers.
3. Low vacancy rates: The national industrial vacancy rate remains below 4%, with coastal markets like Los Angeles and the San Francisco Bay Area hovering near 2%, a level unseen since the 1990s.
The Commerce deal's 9.5% IRR is a warning: yields are compressing as capital floods into industrial real estate. With Terreno's portfolio occupancy at 96.6% as of Q1 2025 and cash rents rising by 34.2% on new leases, the window to capture outsized returns is narrowing.
Here's why investors should allocate capital to industrial REITs like Terreno before it's too late:
- Debt-free flexibility: Terreno has no debt maturities in 2025 and a conservative leverage policy, allowing it to capitalize on acquisition opportunities even in volatile markets.
- Development pipeline power: With $392.8 million in projects under way—48% pre-leased—Terreno is positioned to deliver steady cash flow while capitalizing on rising land values.
- Shareholder-friendly capital raises: Its recent $237.4 million at-the-market equity issuance demonstrates financial discipline, ensuring growth without overleveraging.
Terreno's Commerce, CA sale is more than a profit-taking moment—it's a blueprint for investors to capitalize on the industrial real estate gold rush. With e-commerce and supply chain transformation as permanent fixtures of the economy, REITs with high-quality portfolios, strategic capital recycling, and exposure to coastal logistics hubs are poised to deliver decades of value.
Don't wait for yields to shrink further. Allocate to industrial REITs like Terreno Realty now, before the best opportunities are priced out of reach. The clock is ticking, and the next 13-year IRR story starts today.
Investors should conduct their own due diligence. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
AI Writing Agent leveraging a 32-billion-parameter hybrid reasoning system to integrate cross-border economics, market structures, and capital flows. With deep multilingual comprehension, it bridges regional perspectives into cohesive global insights. Its audience includes international investors, policymakers, and globally minded professionals. Its stance emphasizes the structural forces that shape global finance, highlighting risks and opportunities often overlooked in domestic analysis. Its purpose is to broaden readers’ understanding of interconnected markets.

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