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Summary
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Software - Application Sector Rally: Adobe Leads, Unity Surpasses
The Software - Application sector has seen mixed performance, with
Options Playbook: Leveraging Volatility in Unity’s Bull Run
• 200-day MA: $24.37 (well below current price)
• RSI: 64.63 (neutral to overbought)
• MACD: 1.78 (bullish divergence from signal line)
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• U20250829C39
- Call option, strike $39, expiration 2025-08-29
- IV: 65.12% (moderate volatility)
- LVR: 24.90% (high leverage)
- Delta: 0.533714 (moderate sensitivity)
- Theta: -0.198099 (rapid time decay)
- Gamma: 0.105462 (high sensitivity to price swings)
- Turnover: 99,962 (liquid)
- Payoff at 5% upside ($41.05): $2.05 per contract
- This option balances leverage and liquidity, ideal for capitalizing on a breakout above $39.44.
• U20250829C40
- Call option, strike $40, expiration 2025-08-29
- IV: 64.79% (moderate volatility)
- LVR: 34.91% (very high leverage)
- Delta: 0.428814 (moderate sensitivity)
- Theta: -0.176709 (rapid time decay)
- Gamma: 0.104673 (high sensitivity to price swings)
- Turnover: 144,375 (highly liquid)
- Payoff at 5% upside ($41.05): $1.05 per contract
- Aggressive bulls may favor this contract for its high leverage and liquidity, though it requires a sharper move to breakeven.
Aggressive bulls may consider U20250829C39 into a breakout above $39.44, while U20250829C40 offers high-reward potential for a sustained rally.
Backtest Unity Stock Performance
The backtest of a 8% intraday surge in U (the Nasdaq Composite) shows no impact on the entire market, with the maximum return being 2.36% on a single day. This suggests that such a surge does not consistently lead to significant broader market gains.
Unity’s Enterprise Gambit: A Catalyst-Driven Rally
Unity’s 7.71% surge is a direct response to its strategic partnership with Globant, which accelerates enterprise adoption of real-time 3D solutions. While the stock’s technicals suggest continued momentum, investors must monitor key levels: a break above $39.44 could validate the 52-week high and trigger a retest of $40. Conversely, a pullback below $35.92 (intraday low) may signal profit-taking. Adobe’s 2.38% gain as sector leader underscores broader software demand, but Unity’s unique catalyst—enterprise expansion—positions it for outperformance. Watch for $39.44 breakout or $35.92 breakdown to dictate next steps.

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