UAMY Surges 12.9% on Strategic Leadership Shift and Geopolitical Tailwinds

Summary
• United States Antimony (UAMY) rockets 12.9% to $7.895, surging from a $6.96 intraday low to a $8.07 high.
• Melissa Pagen promoted as President of Bear River Zeolite, signaling strategic focus on zeolite expansion.
• $245M DLA contract for antimony ingots underscores U.S. defense stockpile replenishment urgency.
• Chinese antimony smuggling crackdown and global supply chain tensions amplify critical mineral scarcity.

United States Antimony’s (UAMY) 12.9% intraday surge reflects a confluence of strategic corporate moves and geopolitical tailwinds. The stock’s explosive move follows the promotion of Melissa Pagen to lead the zeolite division and the announcement of a $245M DLA contract. Meanwhile, Chinese antimony smuggling crackdowns and U.S. defense stockpile demands are amplifying antimony’s strategic value, positioning UAMY as a beneficiary of global supply chain realignments.

Leadership Promotion and DLA Contract Drive UAMY's Rally
The stock’s meteoric rise is fueled by two pivotal developments: the promotion of Melissa Pagen to President of Bear River Zeolite and the $245M DLA contract. Pagen’s leadership in the zeolite division aligns with the company’s push to capitalize on zeolite’s growing demand in environmental and industrial applications. Simultaneously, the DLA contract secures a critical revenue stream for antimony ingots, a material essential for U.S. defense systems. These moves, combined with Chinese antimony smuggling crackdowns and U.S. efforts to reduce reliance on foreign supplies, have ignited investor optimism about UAMY’s role in the critical minerals landscape.

Industrial Metals Sector Volatile as UAMY Outperforms
The industrial metals sector remains volatile, with Freeport-McMoRan (FCX) down 1.63% as copper prices face structural deficits. UAMY’s 12.9% surge starkly contrasts the sector’s mixed performance, driven by its unique positioning in antimony—a material with no viable substitutes in defense and advanced manufacturing. While FCX and peers grapple with cyclical demand and geopolitical risks, UAMY’s strategic focus on U.S. defense contracts and zeolite expansion positions it as a beneficiary of long-term critical mineral security initiatives.

Options Playbook: Capitalizing on UAMY’s Bullish Momentum
• RSI: 67.79 (neutral to overbought)
• MACD: -0.055 (bullish histogram)
• 200-day average: $4.91 (well above)
• Bollinger Bands: Price at $7.895 (above upper band of $7.18)
• K-line pattern: Short-term bullish trend confirmed

UAMY’s technicals and fundamentals align for a continuation of its rally. Key support at $5.69 (30D MA) and resistance at $8.07 (intraday high) define the near-term range. The stock’s 12.9% surge suggests a breakout above the 52W high of $19.71 is unlikely, but momentum remains intact. For leveraged exposure, consider the UAMY20260116C8 and UAMY20260116C7.5 options, which offer high leverage and liquidity.

UAMY20260116C8
• Code: UAMY20260116C8
• Type: Call
• Strike: $8.00
• Expiry: 2026-01-16
• IV: 138.12% (high volatility)
• LVR: 12.07% (high leverage)
• Delta: 0.513 (moderate sensitivity)
• Theta: -0.0499 (rapid time decay)
• Gamma: 0.2223 (high sensitivity to price swings)
• Turnover: 76,311 (high liquidity)
• Payoff at 5% upside ($8.29): $0.29 per contract
This call option offers aggressive leverage with a 12.07% leverage ratio and high gamma, ideal for a short-term rally. The 138.12% implied volatility reflects market anticipation of further moves.

UAMY20260116C7.5
• Code: UAMY20260116C7.5
• Type: Call
• Strike: $7.50
• Expiry: 2026-01-16
• IV: 138.38% (high volatility)
• LVR: 8.81% (moderate leverage)
• Delta: 0.624 (high sensitivity)
• Theta: -0.0508 (rapid time decay)
• Gamma: 0.2112 (high sensitivity to price swings)
• Turnover: 63,511 (high liquidity)
• Payoff at 5% upside ($8.29): $0.79 per contract
This contract provides a balance of leverage and delta, offering a 8.81% leverage ratio with high gamma. The 63,511 turnover ensures liquidity for entry and exit.

Aggressive bulls should target UAMY20260116C7.5 into a retest of $8.07.

Backtest United States Antimony Stock Performance
The backtest of UAMY's performance after a 13% intraday increase from 2022 to now shows favorable results. The 3-Day win rate is 47.39%, the 10-Day win rate is 49.78%, and the 30-Day win rate is 54.78%, indicating a higher probability of positive returns in the short term. The maximum return during the backtest was 27.41% over 30 days, suggesting that UAMY can deliver significant gains even after the initial surge.

Position for Antimony's Strategic Pivotal Role
UAMY’s 12.9% surge is a testament to its strategic positioning in the critical minerals race. With the DLA contract and zeolite expansion, the company is well-placed to benefit from U.S. defense and industrial demand. While the industrial metals sector remains volatile, UAMY’s unique exposure to antimony—a material with no substitutes in defense applications—positions it as a long-term play. Watch for a breakout above $8.07 or a retest of the $5.69 support level. For context, sector leader Freeport-McMoRan (FCX) is down 1.63%, underscoring UAMY’s outperformance. Hold UAMY for potential gains as critical mineral security drives demand.