Uniswap (UNI) Price Reversal Potential: On-Chain Whales and Exchange Outflows Signal Accumulation Phase

Uniswap (UNI) has long been a bellwether for DeFi’s broader health, but recent on-chain activity suggests the token may be entering a critical inflection point. Data from on-chain analytics platforms and exchange flow metrics reveals a surge in whale activity and strategic accumulation patterns that could signal a price reversal. For investors, understanding these dynamics is key to navigating UNI’s next move.

Whale Transactions Skyrocket: A Strategic Diversification Play

According to data from IntoTheBlock, whale transactions in UNI surged by 1,713% in a 24-hour period, with a total volume of 58.36 million UNI tokens (worth $431.07 million) transacted [4]. This spike coincided with a $2.3 million USDC investment by a crypto whale, who acquired 153,975 UNI tokens alongside MKR and SPK tokens, signaling a diversified DeFi bet [3]. Such large-scale transactions often indicate institutional or high-net-worth actors positioning for long-term gains, particularly when paired with off-exchange movements.

Notably, whales have been pulling UNI off exchanges at an accelerating rate. On a single day in early September, 55,000 UNI tokens were withdrawn, marking an 18,000-token increase from the prior day [1]. This trend aligns with historical patterns where large holders accumulate assets during price dips, reducing circulating supply and potentially setting the stage for a rebound.

Exchange Outflows Confirm Accumulation Phase

The narrative is further reinforced by exchange outflow data. OnchainLens reported a 408,557 UNI token withdrawal (worth $4.11 million) in late August, as the price fell below $10 [2]. This withdrawal contributed to a 4.18% drop in UNI’s exchange reserves, a metric that often precedes supply tightening and price resilience [1]. Such outflows suggest whales are locking up UNI in wallets or liquidity pools, reducing short-term selling pressure and potentially fueling a bullish reversal.

The timing of these movements is critical. As UNI’s price stabilized near key support levels (e.g., $8.74), the accumulation phase appears to coincide with technical indicators of a potential rebound [2]. Historically, similar on-chain behaviors have preceded 20–30% price surges in DeFi tokens, as reduced supply and increased demand create upward momentum.

Price Action and the Road Ahead

UNI’s price has already shown early signs of responding to these on-chain signals. Over the past seven days, the token rose 5.26%, trading at $7.42 as of September 4, 2025 [4]. While this remains below its 2025 peak, the confluence of whale-driven accumulation and exchange outflows suggests a potential base is forming.

However, risks remain. A breakdown below $8.74 could trigger renewed selling pressure, particularly if broader market sentiment deteriorates. Conversely, a sustained close above $10 would validate the bullish thesis, with historical data indicating a possible retest of $12–$14 levels [2].

For investors, the takeaway is clear: UNI’s on-chain activity paints a picture of strategic accumulation by whales, a pattern often preceding price reversals. While the token faces near-term volatility, the alignment of whale transactions, exchange outflows, and technical support levels suggests a compelling case for a near-term rebound. As always, monitoring these metrics in real time will be essential for timing entry or exit points.

**Source:[1] Uniswap - Analyzing UNI's false breakout and KEY levels to watch
https://ambcrypto.com/uniswap-analyzing-unis-false-breakout-and-key-levels-to-watch/[2] Uniswap: How this KEY support could fuel UNI's move to $12
https://ambcrypto.com/uniswap-how-this-key-support-could-fuel-unis-move-to-12/[3] Crypto Whale Invests $2.3M in UNI, MKR, and SPK Tokens
https://phemex.com/news/article/crypto-whale-invests-23m-in-uni-mkr-and-spk-tokens-17537[4] Uniswap (UNI) Whale Transactions Rocket 1,713% – How Is Price Reacting?
https://www.tradingview.com/news/u_today:04411f4ae094b:0-uniswap-uni-whale-transactions-rocket-1-713-how-is-price-reacting/