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Summary
• UMA/Tether consolidated in a tight range on low volume, with key support near 0.775 and resistance at 0.782.
• Momentum softened into the close, with RSI trending toward oversold and MACD showing bearish divergence.
• Volatility contracted during consolidation, with Bollinger Bands narrowing after a sharp drop overnight.
• A bearish engulfing pattern formed at 0.781, signaling potential for a short-term pullback.
• Turnover dipped below average, suggesting reduced conviction and possible accumulation near support.

Structure and Patterns
Price action formed a bearish consolidation pattern after a sharp selloff in the overnight session. A bearish engulfing candle emerged near 0.781, confirming weakness in the 0.78–0.782 range. The 0.775–0.776 level acted as strong support, with a potential rebound into 0.778–0.78 observed in the early afternoon.
Momentum and Indicators
MACD showed bearish divergence, with the histogram declining despite some price attempts to recover. RSI dipped into oversold territory, indicating potential for a near-term bounce. However, the lack of follow-through volume and narrowing Bollinger Bands suggest a potential pause in momentum.
Volume and Turnover
Volume remained below average throughout the day, with the largest spike occurring during the early-morning drop. Turnover closely followed price, showing no clear divergence. The subdued volume supports the idea of market consolidation and reduced near-term directional conviction.
Fibonacci Retracements
Key retracement levels from the overnight decline showed 0.775 as the 38.2% level, and 0.773 as the 61.8% level. Price held above the 61.8% level for most of the period, suggesting a possible floor. A break below 0.773 could extend the correction into the 0.771–0.769 range.
UMA appears to be in a consolidation phase with limited near-term direction. A breakout above 0.782 could signal a potential reversal, while a sustained break below 0.773 may trigger further weakness. Investors should remain cautious, as volatility and volume remain subdued.
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