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UL Solutions Q1 2025 Earnings: Key Metrics and Strategic Drivers to Watch

Rhys NorthwoodMonday, May 5, 2025 4:07 am ET
15min read

As UL Solutions (NYSE: ULS) prepares to release its first-quarter 2025 earnings on May 6, 2025, investors will scrutinize the results to gauge the company’s progress in executing its growth strategy amid evolving market demands. The earnings report could serve as a barometer for the safety science and sustainability testing firm’s ability to capitalize on trends like EV battery innovation and global regulatory compliance. Below, we dissect the key metrics to watch, the strategic initiatives driving growth, and how they might influence investor sentiment.

1. Earnings Per Share (EPS): Testing the Growth Narrative

Analysts project Q1 2025 adjusted EPS of $0.32, a 14.3% year-over-year (YoY) increase from Q1 2024’s $0.28. This estimate reflects optimism about UL’s ability to expand margins through operational efficiency and higher-margin services. However, investors will compare this to the company’s strong track record of beating EPS expectations—a trend seen in three of the past four quarters. Notably, in Q1 2024, UL surpassed estimates by 28.95%, signaling its knack for outperforming consensus.

2. Revenue Growth: Navigating a Challenging Market

Revenue is forecast to reach $703.87 million, a 5.1% YoY rise from $670 million in Q1 2024. While this growth may seem modest, it underscores UL’s resilience in a sector facing macroeconomic headwinds. The company’s push into software-driven services, such as its UL 360 platform for EU sustainability reporting, could provide a tailwind. Investors should note whether revenue from these high-growth segments is accelerating, as this would validate UL’s pivot toward recurring software subscriptions.

3. Strategic Initiatives: The Catalysts for Long-Term Value

The earnings call will likely highlight progress in two key areas:
- Battery Testing Expansion: UL’s recent acquisitions in EV battery safety testing position it to capitalize on the $1.3 trillion global EV market. Management may provide updates on client wins or partnerships.
- Global Compliance Services: With stricter regulations in the EU and U.S., UL’s role as a certification authority for industries like construction and consumer goods remains critical.

4. Valuation and Sentiment: Balancing Growth with Reality

UL’s current forward P/E ratio of 30.81 and PEG ratio of 6.92 indicate investors are pricing in significant growth expectations. However, the Zacks Earnings ESP model assigns a 0% surprise probability, suggesting minimal volatility around the results. This neutral outlook contrasts with the stock’s 11.5% YTD gain, which mirrors a 11.7% sector average.

5. Risks to Watch

  • Competitive Pressures: Rivals like SGS and Bureau Veritas are expanding into software and digital compliance tools, potentially eroding UL’s margins.
  • Regulatory Delays: Postponed EU regulations could defer demand for UL’s sustainability services.

Conclusion: A Milestone for UL’s Transition

The May 6 earnings report is more than a quarterly update—it’s a test of UL Solutions’ ability to sustain growth in its transition from a traditional testing firm to a data-driven, software-enabled solutions provider. If the company exceeds the $0.32 EPS estimate and shows acceleration in software revenue, it could justify its premium valuation and drive further upside. Conversely, a miss or lackluster guidance could prompt investors to reassess its growth narrative.

With a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold) and a consensus price target of $59.15 (vs. its current $59.85), the market remains cautiously optimistic. Investors should pay close attention to management’s commentary on UL 360 adoption rates, battery testing backlog, and margins expansion. A strong Q1 performance could position ULS to outperform in the coming quarters, especially if it leverages its Q2 2025 earnings (anticipated for August 19) to reinforce its leadership in an increasingly regulated global economy.

In a sector where innovation and compliance are paramount, UL’s results will speak volumes about its readiness to lead in the next phase of safety science.

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