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Uber Q1 2025 Earnings: Solid Profits and AV Momentum Fail to Offset Revenue Miss, Shares Fall 6%

Jay's InsightWednesday, May 7, 2025 8:23 am ET
3min read

Uber Technologies delivered a first-quarter 2025 report that showcased strong profitability, accelerating user activity, and a deepening push into autonomous vehicles (AVs). While earnings and adjusted EBITDA beat analyst estimates, shares slid 6% in premarket trading as topline revenue and gross bookings came in slightly below Wall Street expectations. The market appeared to key in on softer-than-expected mobility and delivery volume growth and a modest Q2 outlook, even as uber continues to demonstrate operating leverage and massive cash generation, with $2.25 billion in free cash flow during the quarter. Despite these mixed signals, CEO Dara Khosrowshahi emphasized Uber’s long-term positioning in mobility, delivery, and AV tech as the company moves toward what it believes is the “single greatest opportunity ahead.”

Headline Financials and Key Metrics

Uber reported Q1 revenue of $11.53 billion, a 14% year-over-year increase but just shy of the $11.62 billion consensus. Gross bookings rose 14% year-over-year to $42.82 billion but fell short of the $43.14 billion Wall Street forecast. Adjusted EBITDA came in at $1.87 billion, ahead of the $1.85 billion estimate and up 35% from the prior year. Net income was $1.78 billion, or 83 cents per share, well above the 50-cent consensus, aided in part by equity investment revaluations.

Trips reached a record 3 billion, up 18% year-over-year, with monthly active platform consumers (MAPCs) growing 14% to 170 million. These trends reflect healthy platform engagement, further evidenced by a 3% increase in trips per MAPC. Adjusted EBITDA margins as a percentage of gross bookings reached 4.4%, up from 3.7% in the year-ago period, while Uber ended the quarter with $6 billion in unrestricted cash and investments.

Segment Breakdown: Mobility, Delivery, and Consumer Strength

Uber’s Mobility segment reported gross bookings of $21.18 billion, up 13% year-over-year, though modestly shy of internal hopes. Delivery, which includes Uber Eats and grocery offerings, posted $20.38 billion in gross bookings, a 15% annual increase. Both segments showed solid activity, but with less upside than some investors had priced in, particularly as Uber faces tough comps from a post-pandemic normalization in both mobility and meal delivery.

Monthly users and frequency metrics remained strong, reinforcing confidence in consumer demand despite macro headwinds. However, recent changes to workplace policies—requiring more in-office presence—and revisions to benefits such as sabbaticals hinted at a company tightening discipline amid a shifting labor and cost environment. CEO Khosrowshahi acknowledged macro uncertainty but maintained that “consumer retention is strong” and the Uber One subscription base continues to grow rapidly.

Outlook and Guidance

For Q2 2025, Uber guided gross bookings between $45.75 billion and $47.25 billion, effectively bracketing consensus expectations of $45.85 billion. Adjusted EBITDA is projected between $2.02 billion and $2.12 billion, representing year-over-year growth of 29% to 35%. While the guidance reflects continued expansion, the 1.5 percentage point FX headwind—particularly in Mobility—combined with cautious revenue trends, contributed to the muted market reaction.

Management reaffirmed its long-term focus on free cash flow generation, noting Uber’s “multiple levers” for durable capital returns, and confirmed it remains on track to hit its multiyear financial framework.

Autonomous Vehicle Expansion and Strategic Initiatives

Autonomous vehicle efforts were a prominent theme on the earnings call. Khosrowshahi called AVs “the single greatest opportunity ahead” for Uber and highlighted five new AV-related partnerships announced in the past week alone. The company now counts major players like Waymo, Volkswagen, May Mobility, Avride, and Aurora among its collaborators in robotaxi and autonomous freight.

Uber reached an annual run-rate of 1.5 million AV trips and reported that Waymo’s fleet in Austin, Texas—now integrated into Uber’s app—delivered results that “exceeded expectations,” with some vehicles ranking in the 99th percentile of trip volume. International AV partnerships with WeRide, Pony.AI, and Momenta further indicate Uber’s ambition to scale autonomy globally.

Additionally, Uber announced it had acquired an 85% controlling stake in Turkey’s Trendyol GO for roughly $700 million, expanding its presence in emerging food and grocery delivery markets.

Market Reaction and Analyst Takeaways

Despite the profitability beat and forward-looking commentary, Uber shares dropped about 6% in early trading. The move likely reflects investor disappointment in the modest revenue miss, cautious gross bookings guidance, and perceived risk around FTC litigation concerning Uber One subscription practices. Khosrowshahi defended the product’s transparency, calling the suit “a head-scratcher,” and emphasized its importance to Uber Eats growth.

Investors may also be weighing the stock’s recent strength—Uber had gained nearly 17% year-to-date before the report—and rotating away in the absence of upside surprises. The company’s slight topline softness and delivery of in-line guidance seem to have triggered a “sell the news” dynamic.

Conclusion

Uber’s Q1 report was solid on profitability and free cash flow but lacked the revenue upside to sustain bullish momentum. While earnings and adjusted EBITDA beat expectations, and core user metrics remained robust, investor focus turned to softer-than-hoped gross bookings and macro sensitivity in the outlook. The long-term growth story—bolstered by Uber’s aggressive AV push and strong cash generation—remains intact, but the stock’s reaction underscores that high expectations leave little room for ambiguity. As Uber navigates regulatory scrutiny and execution in emerging tech, the next chapters in its AV rollout and international delivery strategy could determine whether shares can regain their footing.

Ask Aime: What's driving Uber's stock price down despite strong Q1 profitability and cash flow?

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JobKnown5705
05/07
$UBER It's clear from the headlines that Uber missed revenue targets, but there's no mention of its big earnings per share beat. Smart folks will see beyond this and keep buying, pushing it closer to $100 a share.
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Wanderer_369
05/07
Free cash flow $2.25B? Cash cow status activated. 🐄
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CardiologistEasy4031
05/07
Guidance in line, but investor patience wears thin. High expectations are a double-edged sword.
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cfeltus23
05/07
Mobility segment meh, but margins looking decent.
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WoodKite
05/07
Uber's AV game is strong, but investors want more revenue juice. 🤔
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ZhangtheGreat
05/07
Riding the $UBER wave with a small position. Hoping for a dip before the next bull run.
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polska-parsnip
05/07
@ZhangtheGreat How long you planning to hold $UBER? Got any price target in mind?
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howtospellsisyphus
05/07
Holding $UBER long-term, delivery growth will pay off.
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confused-student1028
05/07
Uber One subscription growth is a sleeper hit. Don't sleep on that retention.
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MustiXV
05/07
Revenue miss, shares drop. Classic "sell the news" vibes.
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Pushover112233
05/07
UBER's AV game strong, but market wants magic.
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Jazzlike-Check9040
05/07
Free cash flow 💰 is Uber's secret weapon.
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WickedSensitiveCrew
05/07
Waymo collab is a big deal. Uber's AV ambitions ain't no joke.
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A_Moron_In-Existence
05/07
Free cash flow is solid, but the market's a mood, ain't it? 🤔
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epk-lys
05/07
@A_Moron_In-Existence True, market's a rollercoaster.
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reallymt
05/07
@A_Moron_In-Existence What's your take on AVs now?
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Doxfinity
05/07
Dipped 6% premarket? Ouch. But $UBER's long-term vision remains solid in my book.
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goldeneye700
05/07
Partnerships galore in AV space, but will it translate to bottom line? Only time tells.
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ramdomwalk
05/07
@goldeneye700 Yeah, time will tell.
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